AAVE Price Drops 75% From August Peak – What’s Next For the Altcoin?
Aave (AAVE) trades close to $91 after shedding virtually 75% of its worth since the August 2025 peak. The coin is now retesting long-term help, with the descending each day trendline flipping from resistance to tentative help.
The setup affords a binary image. Bulls see a possible 49% transfer towards $135 if help holds. Bears level to a confirmed weekly double prime and rising change provide weighing on value.
Exchange Inflows Spike as AAVE Supply Builds on Exchanges
Santiment information exhibits AAVE change inflows spiked over the previous two days. The studying marks the largest influx cluster since March 2026. It lined up intently with the current sell-off from $112 again towards $90.
Supply on exchanges has additionally climbed steadily since early April. The metric first rose alongside the push increased. Then it accelerated as value turned decrease, pointing to energetic distribution by bigger holders.
Both alerts recommend cash moved to exchanges first to promote into energy. Fresh cash stored arriving as value broke down. The bearish learn would flip provided that change provide begins declining and each day inflows cool off.
Weekly Chart Hints at Reversal Despite Long-Term Double Top
The on-chain image is heavy, but the weekly chart carries a contrasting sign. AAVE has printed a long-term double prime. The first peak landed close to $380 in December 2024. The second topped close to $360 in August 2025.
Since that August high, the token has fallen roughly 75%. It now sits inside the May inexperienced help zone. Three ascending resistance areas stay above value, at $135, $215, and the $360 to $380 vary.
Last week, AAVE pushed for a weekly achieve of almost 33%. The transfer additionally broke a descending trendline drawn from the August peak. A parallel descending quantity trendline additionally broke out, hinting at stronger purchaser engagement. However, the transfer pale and value closed again close to the weekly open.
The weekly MACD might print its first bullish cross since May. A confirmed cross would sign a contemporary momentum shift. RSI nonetheless leans bearish close to oversold territory, so the momentum story just isn’t but decisive. Recent protocol modifications tied to AAVE governance have to this point didn’t carry value.
AAVE Price Prediction 49% Upside If Trendline Support Holds
On the each day chart, AAVE trades inside a descending parallel channel courting again to January 2026. The descending trendline carried over from the weekly was tapped twice earlier than the breakout, on March 16 and March 25.
On April 13, value broke above the trendline and stretched to $112. The transfer gave again virtually all good points inside days. On April 19, the trendline was retested from above, flipping into short-term help.
If help holds and bulls reclaim the channel midline, the first goal sits close to $135. That represents roughly a 49% achieve from present ranges. A confirmed weekly MACD cross would strengthen that state of affairs, as would a second trendline take a look at that holds.
Daily indicators keep impartial for now, with RSI close to 42 and MACD barely optimistic. The final two periods additionally printed a quantity spike that matched bearish candles. That issues given current oracle points that renewed warning amongst AAVE merchants.
Invalidation is easy. A each day shut again beneath the inexperienced help zone close to $80 would void the retest thesis. Deeper lows would then grow to be doubtless for the broader AAVE market.
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