2026 World Cup Power Rankings: All 48 Teams Ranked at Prediction Markets
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France edges Spain for high spot. They’re each elite groups, however Spain beat France at Euro 2024 and has a better group. We give Spain the nod.
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We’re extra bullish than the markets on Belgium and Croatia. They’re behind unheralded groups like Norway and Japan in merchants’ estimations, however we disagree.
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A detailed name between Brazil and Portugal. The markets imagine that Brazil has a greater probability of lifting the trophy than Portugal, however we give the Portuguese workforce the sting.
Forty-eight groups will converge upon North America to vie for glory at the World Cup this summer time. We’ve ranked every workforce in descending order, from the reigning European champion to a tiny Caribbean island.
You should buy sure/no contracts on which of those groups will win the World Cup at prediction websites like Kalshi and Polymarket. In some instances, we agree with their odds, however we additionally suppose that a number of groups are at the moment mispriced.
World Cup energy rankings: Kalshi vs. Polymarket
| Rank | Team | Kalshi | Polymarket |
| 1 | Spain | 16.6% | 15.4% |
| 2 | France | 18.0% | 16.7% |
| 3 | England | 11.2% | 11.1% |
| 4 | Argentina | 9.7% | 8.7% |
| 5 | Portugal | 8.6% | 7.5% |
| 6 | Brazil | 9.4% | 8.6% |
| 7 | Germany | 5.4% | 5.2% |
| 8 | Netherlands | 3.6% | 3.4% |
| 9 | Belgium | 2.0% | 2.0% |
| 10 | Croatia | 1.4% | 1.1% |
| 11 | Morocco | 1.9% | 1.9% |
| 12 | Norway | 2.2% | 2.3% |
| 13 | Colombia | 1.9% | 1.7% |
| 14 | Uruguay | 1.2% | 1.1% |
| 15 | USA | 1.9% | 1.6% |
| 16 | Mexico | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| 17 | Japan | 2.0% | 2.2% |
| 18 | Senegal | 0.8% | 0.8% |
| 19 | Ecuador | 0.7% | 0.8% |
| 20 | Switzerland | 0.9% | 1.0% |
| 21 | Turkey | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| 22 | Sweden | 0.4% | 0.7% |
| 23 | Austria | 0.4% | 0.7% |
| 24 | Ivory Coast | 0.3% | 0.5% |
| 25 | Canada | 0.5% | 0.7% |
| 26 | Paraguay | 0.2% | 0.5% |
| 27 | Czechia | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| 28 | South Korea | 0.2% | 0.5% |
| 29 | Scotland | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| 30 | Egypt | 0.2% | 0.5% |
| 31 | Algeria | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| 32 | Australia | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| 33 | Tunisia | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| 34 | Ghana | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| 35 | Bosnia and Herzegovina | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| 36 | South Africa | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| 37 | Saudi Arabia | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| 38 | Iran | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| 39 | Panama | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| 40 | Uzbekistan | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| 41 | New Zealand | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| 42 | DR Congo | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| 43 | Cabo Verde | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| 44 | Iraq | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| 45 | Qatar | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| 46 | Haiti | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| 47 | Jordan | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| 48 | Curaçao | 0.1% | 0.3% |
Top World Cup contenders
A handful of elite groups from Europe and South America dominate prediction markets within the build-up to the World Cup. These are the main contenders to elevate the trophy.
1. Spain
- World Cup odds: 16.6% (Kalshi), 15.4% (Polymarket)
- Group H odds: 75% (Kalshi), 80% (Polymarket)
- First match: Monday, June 15, 2026 – 12:00 PM ET vs Cabo Verde at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta
Spain is the reigning European champion after outclassing Germany, France, and England at Euro 2024. La Roja is at the moment on a record-breaking 33-game unbeaten streak, so they are going to be surging with momentum at the World Cup. They have a world-class midfield, led by Rodri and Pedri, however star winger Lamine Yamal is at the moment sidelined with a hamstring harm. He’s anticipated to recuperate in time for the World Cup, however it stays to be seen if he’ll be firing on all cylinders.
2. France
- World Cup odds: 18.0% (Kalshi), 16.7% (Polymarket)
- Group I odds: 68% (Kalshi), 71% (Polymarket)
- First match: Tuesday, June 16, 2026 – 3:00 PM ET vs Senegal at MetLife Stadium, New York/New Jersey
France surged to No. 1 within the FIFA world rankings after beating Brazil and Colombia within the March worldwide break. Les Bleus are actually the favorites to win the World Cup on each Kalshi and Polymarket, as they’re stacked with elite forwards like Kylian Mbappé, Desiré Doué, Ousmane Dembélé, and Michael Olise. They have an excellent file within the World Cup, however they’ve landed in a a lot more durable group than Spain, so now we have them at No. 2 in our rankings.
3. England
- World Cup odds: 11.2% (Kalshi), 11.1% (Polymarket)
- Group L odds: 72% (Kalshi), 73% (Polymarket)
- First match: Wednesday, June 17, 2026 – 4:00 PM ET vs Croatia at AT&T Stadium, Dallas
England was the runner-up at the final two European Championships, and it additionally tends to go deep into the World Cup. The Three Lions now have a genuinely elite coach in Thomas Tuchel, whereas captain Harry Kane is in glowing kind for Bayern Munich this season. The protection might be their Achilles heel, however they need to land on the other facet of the bracket to France and Spain, giving them a fairly clear path to the ultimate.
4. Argentina
- World Cup odds: 9.7% (Kalshi), 8.7% (Polymarket)
- Group J odds: 75% (Kalshi), 76% (Polymarket)
- First match: Tuesday, June 16, 2026 – 9:00 PM ET vs Algeria at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City
Argentina is the reigning world champion after beating France in a penalty shootout 4 years in the past. Star participant Lionel Messi is now 39 years previous, so his affect is waning, however the supporting forged nonetheless seems to be sturdy. Julián Álvarez and Lautaro Martínez are going from energy to energy in assault, whereas the likes of Emiliano Martínez, Enzo Fernández, and Alexis Mac Allister are nonetheless of their prime. They lack elite defenders, so now we have them at No. 4 in our rankings.
5. Portugal
- World Cup odds: 8.6% (Kalshi), 7.5% (Polymarket)
- Group Ok odds: 64% (Kalshi), 66% (Polymarket)
- First match: Wednesday, June 17, 2026 – 1:00 PM ET vs DR Congo at NRG Stadium, Houston
Portugal boasts arguably the world’s finest midfield: PSG duo Vitinha and João Neves, Man City captain Bernardo Silva, and Man United playmaker Bruno Fernandes. Cristiano Ronaldo stays a lethal striker, even at the ripe previous age of 41, whereas in addition they have quite a lot of tempo, vitality, and dynamism in large areas. The solely concern is that Ruben Dias is the one world-class defender within the squad, so an harm to him may derail their prospects.
6. Brazil
- World Cup odds: 9.4% (Kalshi), 8.6% (Polymarket)
- Group C odds: 75% (Kalshi), 77% (Polymarket)
- First match: Saturday, June 13, 2026 – 6:00 PM ET vs Morocco at MetLife Stadium, New York/New Jersey
Brazil has received extra World Cups than another nation, however they’ve persistently flopped since lifting the trophy in 2002. The squad is undoubtedly stacked, that includes the likes of Vinícius Júnior, Raphinha, Gabriel Magalhães, and Alisson, whereas supervisor Carlo Ancelotti is a born winner. They completed fifth within the South American World Cup qualifying group, and key gamers are injured. As we see it, merchants are too optimistic concerning the Seleção’s probabilities of success.
7. Germany
- World Cup odds: 5.4% (Kalshi), 5.2% (Polymarket)
- Group E odds: 69% (Kalshi), 73% (Polymarket)
- First match: Sunday, June 14, 2026 – 1:00 PM ET vs Curaçao at NRG Stadium, Houston
Manager Julian Nagelsmann has steadied the ship after a turbulent interval for Germany, which crashed out within the group stage at the final two World Cups. Florian Wirtz and Jamal Musiala are each elite playmakers, and the squad has high quality gamers in most departments. However, Germany lacks a dependable goalkeeper, and striker Kai Havertz has endured an injury-hit season.
8. Netherlands
- World Cup odds: 3.6% (Kalshi), 3.4% (Polymarket)
- Group F odds: 55% (Kalshi), 54% (Polymarket)
- First match: Sunday, June 14, 2026 – 4:00 PM ET vs Japan at AT&T Stadium, Dallas
The Oranje have a humiliation of riches in protection, together with Virgil Van Dijk, Jurriën Timber, Micky van de Ven, Nathan Aké, and Stefan De Vrij. A midfield led by Frenkie de Jong and Ryan Gravenberch is excellent, they usually have harmful gamers on each wings. However, they lack an elite striker. Playmaker Xavi Simons will miss the event with an harm.
9. Belgium
- World Cup odds: 2.0% (Kalshi), 2.0% (Polymarket)
- Group G odds: 70% (Kalshi), 68% (Polymarket)
- First match: Monday, June 15, 2026 – 3:00 PM ET vs Egypt at Lumen Field, Seattle
We’re shocked to see Belgium buying and selling at simply 2.0% to win the World Cup. The Red Devils have undoubtedly regressed, as a number of key gamers have retired, however the squad continues to be stacked with high quality. Thibaut Courtois is arguably the world’s finest goalkeeper, Kevin De Bruyne stays a world-class playmaker, and the likes of Jérémy Doku and Romelu Lukaku deliver tempo, energy, and unpredictability to the assault.
World Cup darkish horses to observe
The World Cup has all the time been received by elite European or South American groups, however a couple of darkish horses typically go deep into the event. These are our high picks to spring a shock this summer time.
10. Croatia
- World Cup odds: 1.4% (Kalshi), 1.1% (Polymarket)
- Group L odds: 25% (Kalshi), 19% (Polymarket)
- First match: Wednesday, June 17, 2026 – 4:00 PM ET vs England at AT&T Stadium, Dallas
You can by no means write off Croatia at the World Cup. This technically gifted workforce reached the ultimate in 2018, dropping to France, they usually completed third in 2022. Some of their finest gamers have since retired, however the evergreen Luka Modrić continues to be pulling the strings in midfield. This workforce is aware of tips on how to grind out leads to huge video games.
11. Morocco
- World Cup odds: 1.9% (Kalshi), 1.9% (Polymarket)
- Group C odds: 21% (Kalshi), 19% (Polymarket)
- First match: Saturday, June 13, 2026 – 6:00 PM ET vs Brazil at MetLife Stadium, New York/New Jersey
Morocco beat the likes of Spain and Portugal en path to reaching the World Cup semifinals in 2022. The backbone of that workforce continues to be intact, led by PSG full-back Achraf Hakimi, and the Moroccans are exceptionally disciplined in protection. An absence of firepower in assault may dent their possibilities, however Morocco seems to be just like the main World Cup contender from outdoors of Europe and South America.
12. Norway
- World Cup odds: 2.2% (Kalshi), 2.3% (Polymarket)
- Group I odds: 22% (Kalshi), 22% (Polymarket)
- First match: Tuesday, June 16, 2026 – 6:00 PM ET vs Iraq at Gillette Stadium, Boston
Norway is priced over 2.0% with prediction markets, and it’s straightforward to see why. Erling Haaland, Martin Ødegaard, and Alexander Sørloth kind one of the vital harmful entrance traces within the discipline, they usually had been magnificent in qualifying. However, the protection seems to be weak. They lack depth, and that is the primary time the Norwegians have certified since 1998. They’re in a ferociously tough group alongside France and Senegal, in order that they’ll must combat to even make the knockout stage.
13. Colombia
- World Cup odds: 1.9% (Kalshi), 1.7% (Polymarket)
- Group Ok odds: 27% (Kalshi), 29% (Polymarket)
- First match: Wednesday, June 17, 2026 – 10:00 PM ET vs Uzbekistan at Estadio Azteca, Mexico City
Colombia completed third within the South American World Cup qualifying group, with Bayern Munich winger Luis Díaz firing in seven objectives. The Colombians look stable in each division, however Díaz is the one celebrity within the squad. They additionally misplaced to Croatia and France in March, which has dented their momentum within the build-up to the event.
14. Uruguay
- World Cup odds: 1.2% (Kalshi), 1.1% (Polymarket)
- Group H odds: 18% (Kalshi), 18% (Polymarket)
- First match: Monday, June 15, 2026 – 6:00 PM ET vs Saudi Arabia at Hard Rock Stadium, Miami
Manager Marcelo Bielsa’s high-risk method offers Uruguay an opportunity of successful any sport, however it additionally leaves La Celeste weak on the counterattack. The squad seems to be as sturdy as ever, that includes high gamers like Federico Valverde, Ronald Araujo, and José Giménez, however striker Darwin Núñez is inconsistent. If he clicks into gear, Uruguay might be harmful.
15. USA
- World Cup odds: 1.9% (Kalshi), 1.6% (Polymarket)
- Group D odds: 39% (Kalshi), 42% (Polymarket)
- First match: Friday, June 12, 2026 – 9:00 PM ET vs Paraguay at SoFi Stadium, Los Angeles
The USMNT will profit from residence benefit at this event, however preparations have been removed from perfect. They misplaced 5-2 to Belgium and 2-0 to Portugal within the March worldwide break, and star participant Christian Pulisic is struggling for kind and health. On a brighter notice, gamers like Folarin Balogun and Weston McKennie are on hearth proper now, and the USA additionally has a deep squad, a good path to the Round of 16, and a proficient supervisor in Mauricio Pochettino.
16. Mexico
- World Cup odds: 1.6% (Kalshi), 1.1% (Polymarket)
- Group A odds: 49% (Kalshi), 48% (Polymarket)
- First match: Thursday, June 11, 2026 – 3:00 PM ET vs South Africa at Estadio Azteca, Mexico City
El Tri prolonged their unbeaten streak to eight video games after drawing with Portugal and Belgium in March. They will even profit from sturdy residence assist at this event, and the gamers should not have any bother coping with the warmth. Mexico has stable gamers in every division, together with Edson Álvarez and Raúl Jiménez, however El Tri haven’t made it previous the World Cup Round of 16 since 1986.
17. Japan
- World Cup odds: 2.0% (Kalshi), 2.2% (Polymarket)
- Group F odds: 26% (Kalshi), 28% (Polymarket)
- First match: Sunday, June 14, 2026 – 4:00 PM ET vs Netherlands at AT&T Stadium, Dallas
We fee Japan because the strongest Asian workforce heading to the World Cup this summer time. Brighton’s Kaoru Mitoma is a livewire in assault, and the workforce is exceptionally disciplined, hardworking, and tactically astute. However, Japan additionally tends to crash out within the Round of 16, and this workforce may battle in opposition to elite South American or European opposition.
18. Senegal
- World Cup odds: 0.8% (Kalshi), 0.8% (Polymarket)
- Group I odds: 11% (Kalshi), 9% (Polymarket)
- First match: Tuesday, June 16, 2026 – 3:00 PM ET vs France at MetLife Stadium, New York/New Jersey
Senegal beat Morocco within the Africa Cup of Nations closing earlier this yr, though the Lions of Teranga had been subsequently stripped of the title and have since appealed. They stay a really sturdy workforce, that includes the likes of Sadio Mané, Kalidou Koulibaly, Pape Matar Sarr, and Ismaïla Sarr. They had been unlucky to be drawn alongside France and Norway in Group I, but when they qualify for the knockout stage, they may go deep into this event.
19. Ecuador
- World Cup odds: 0.7% (Kalshi), 0.8% (Polymarket)
- Group E odds: 19% (Kalshi), 18% (Polymarket)
- First match: Sunday, June 14, 2026 – 7:00 PM ET vs Côte d’Ivoire at Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia
Ecuador completed second within the South American World Cup qualifying group, forward of Colombia, Uruguay, and Brazil. That’s a powerful achievement, however it displays the standard of their beginning XI. Moisés Caicedo and Willian Pacho give the workforce a really sturdy backbone, though a scarcity of attacking firepower may maintain them again.
20. Switzerland
- World Cup odds: 0.9% (Kalshi), 1.0% (Polymarket)
- Group B odds: 52% (Kalshi), 53% (Polymarket)
- First match: Saturday, June 13, 2026 – 3:00 PM ET vs Qatar at Levi’s Stadium, San Francisco Bay Area
Switzerland reached the Round of 16 at the final three World Cups, plus the quarterfinals of the final two European Championships. They look able to having fun with an analogous run this time round, with captain Granit Xhaka main the cost. The Swiss have solely misplaced as soon as of their final 12 video games – a 4-3 defeat to Germany – they usually comfortably beat each the USMNT and Mexico final yr.
21. Turkey
- World Cup odds: 0.8% (Kalshi), 0.7% (Polymarket)
- Group D odds: 36% (Kalshi), 36% (Polymarket)
- First match: Saturday, June 13, 2026 – 12:00 AM ET vs Australia at BC Place, Vancouver
Turkey ought to be thrilling in assault at this event, led by Real Madrid’s Arda Güler and Juventus winger Kenan Yildiz. Hakan Çalhanoğlu has additionally been in glowing kind for Inter Milan this season, and supervisor Vincenzo Montella has a number of proficient gamers at his disposal. However, Turkey struggles defensively, which may show to be this workforce’s downfall.
The remainder of the World Cup discipline
The different groups within the discipline can have their work lower out. Some might spring a shock or two, however their probabilities of going deep into the event are slim at finest.
22. Sweden
- World Cup odds: 0.4% (Kalshi), 0.7% (Polymarket)
- Group F odds: 16% (Kalshi), 14% (Polymarket)
- First match: Sunday, June 14, 2026 – 10:00 PM ET vs Tunisia at Estadio BBVA, Monterrey
Sweden has the very best strike partnership of any non-elite workforce at the World Cup. Liverpool’s Alexander Isak and Arsenal’s Viktor Gyökeres are each very harmful in entrance of purpose, whereas Anthony Elanga and Roony Bardghji present sturdy assist. However, the protection and midfield lack high quality, which is why the Swedes completed backside of their World Cup qualifying group – with zero wins from six video games – and solely earned a spot within the event by way of the Nations League pathway.
23. Austria
- World Cup odds: 0.4% (Kalshi), 0.7% (Polymarket)
- Group J odds: 15% (Kalshi), 17% (Polymarket)
- First match: Wednesday, June 17, 2026 – 12:00 AM ET vs Jordan at Levi’s Stadium, San Francisco
Manager Ralf Rangnick has made Austria arduous to beat, as his workforce performs an intense, high-pressing fashion of soccer. The Austrians have high quality midfielders like Marcel Sabitzer and Konrad Laimer, whereas veteran striker Marko Arnautović continues to be scoring objectives. They topped their qualifying group, they usually can upset any workforce, however the workforce lacks a real match-winner.
24. Ivory Coast
- World Cup odds: 0.3% (Kalshi), 0.5% (Polymarket)
- Group E odds: 11% (Kalshi), 10% (Polymarket)
- First match: Sunday, June 14, 2026 – 7:00 PM ET vs Ecuador at Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia
A quick, highly effective workforce with commanding defenders like Ousmane Diomande and dynamic wingers like Amad Diallo, Yan Diomande, and Simon Adingra. Sébastian Haller is a harmful striker too, so the Ivorians may carry out nicely at the World Cup. On the opposite hand, they’ve a brutal group stage draw – they’re up in opposition to Germany and Ecuador – they usually’ve by no means reached the World Cup knockout stage.
25. Canada
- World Cup odds: 0.5% (Kalshi), 0.7% (Polymarket)
- Group B odds: 27% (Kalshi), 25% (Polymarket)
- First match: Friday, June 12, 2026 – 3:00 PM ET vs Bosnia and Herzegovina at BMO Field, Toronto
Canada all the time seems to be harmful on the counterattack, led by the tempo of Alphonso Davies, Tajon Buchanan, and Jonathan David. The CANMNT have been on an upward curve lately, they usually have a house benefit for this event. However, Canada’s World Cup file is abysmal – six defeats from six video games – they usually lack depth, so an harm to a key participant might be expensive.
26. Paraguay
- World Cup odds: 0.2% (Kalshi), 0.5% (Polymarket)
- Group D odds: 17% (Kalshi), 18% (Polymarket)
- First match: Friday, June 12, 2026 – 9:00 PM ET vs USA at SoFi Stadium, Los Angeles
Paraguay is a defensively organized workforce, with dependable forwards like Miguel Almirón and Antonio Sanabria. They may grind out a couple of respectable outcomes at the World Cup, however La Albirroja solely scored 10 objectives in 18 qualifying matches. That lack of attacking spark may scupper their probabilities of reaching the Round of 16.
27. Czechia
- World Cup odds: 0.3% (Kalshi), 0.4% (Polymarket)
- Group A odds: 21% (Kalshi), 24% (Polymarket)
- First match: Thursday, June 11, 2026 – 10:00 PM ET vs Korea Republic at Estadio Akron, Guadalajara
Czechia confirmed actual character through the World Cup playoffs, beating the Republic of Ireland and Denmark on penalties. The workforce will now carry momentum into the event, the place the Czechs will face South Korea, Mexico, and South Africa. They have a robust backbone, that includes Tomas Souček and Patrik Schick, so they appear able to making the knockout stage.
28. South Korea
- World Cup odds: 0.2% (Kalshi), 0.5% (Polymarket)
- Group A odds: 22% (Kalshi), 20% (Polymarket)
- First match: Thursday, June 11, 2026 – 10:00 PM ET vs Czechia at Estadio Akron, Guadalajara
This will likely be Son Heung-Min’s final World Cup, and the LAFC striker will likely be eager to exit in a blaze of glory. He will hyperlink up with Lee Kang-in and Hwang Hee-chan in a stable assault, however South Korea’s protection seems to be shaky. Group A is actually winnable, however will probably be powerful for this workforce to succeed in the latter phases of the event.
29. Scotland
- World Cup odds: 0.2% (Kalshi), 0.4% (Polymarket)
- Group C odds: 7% (Kalshi), 5% (Polymarket)
- First match: Saturday, June 13, 2026 – 9:00 PM ET vs Haiti at Gillette Stadium, Boston
Scotland has certified for its first World Cup since 1998, and it’s largely all the way down to the brilliance of Serie A MVP Scott McTominay. He has chipped in with essential objectives and varieties a robust midfield together with John McGinn and Lewis Ferguson. The Scots lack high quality in assault, and the protection seems to be weak, in order that they’ll want some huge performances from McTominay and McGinn in the event that they’re to go deep into this event.
30. Egypt
- World Cup odds: 0.2% (Kalshi), 0.5% (Polymarket)
- Group G odds: 17% (Kalshi), 18% (Polymarket)
- First match: Monday, June 15, 2026 – 3:00 PM ET vs Belgium at Lumen Field, Seattle
This Egypt workforce stays closely reliant on talismanic ahead Mohamed Salah, who seems to be a shadow of his former self. Salah blazed a path of destruction throughout the Premier League final season, however he has been largely ineffective this yr, and he’s at the moment injured. If he can’t rediscover his finest kind, Egypt may battle.
31. Algeria
- World Cup odds: 0.2% (Kalshi), 0.4% (Polymarket)
- Group J odds: 10% (Kalshi), 7% (Polymarket)
- First match: Tuesday, June 16, 2026 – 9:00 PM ET vs Argentina at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City
Algeria is a well-drilled workforce, however it has a tough path to the knockout stage. The Algerians will start their marketing campaign in opposition to reigning champion Argentina, earlier than dealing with Austria and Jordan. They’ll want some magic from veteran playmaker Riyadh Mahrez in the event that they’re to make the Round of 32.
32. Australia
- World Cup odds: 0.1% (Kalshi), 0.3% (Polymarket)
- Group D odds: 9% (Kalshi), 8% (Polymarket)
- First match: Saturday, June 13, 2026 – 12:00 AM ET vs Turkey at BC Place, Vancouver
The Socceroos all the time give 100% effort. They’re well-organized underneath Tony Popovic, however they lack high quality. None of their gamers characterize elite European golf equipment, and that dearth of stardust might be problematic. They have the potential to frustrate rival groups, however they don’t have sufficient leading edge in assault to significantly bother the very best groups on this planet.
33. Tunisia
- World Cup odds: 0.1% (Kalshi), 0.4% (Polymarket)
- Group F odds: 5% (Kalshi), 6% (Polymarket)
- First match: Sunday, June 14, 2026 – 10:00 PM ET vs Sweden at Estadio BBVA, Monterrey
Tunisia is one other defensively stable workforce, which works arduous to stifle the opposition. The Eagles of Carthage are unlikely to endure any heavy defeats at the World Cup, however they lack a artistic midfielder and a confirmed goalscorer. They’re in a really powerful group alongside the Netherlands, Japan, and Sweden, and easily making the Round of 32 could be a serious achievement.
34. Ghana
- World Cup odds: 0.2% (Kalshi), 0.3% (Polymarket)
- Group L odds: 9% (Kalshi), 8% (Polymarket)
- First match: Wednesday, June 17, 2026 – 7:00 PM ET vs Panama at BMO Field, Toronto
An assault that includes Antoine Semenyo, Mohammed Kudus, and Jordan Ayew might be devastating. On the opposite hand, the protection seems to be weak, and the squad lacks depth. The Black Stars will face England, Croatia, and Panama within the group stage, which seems to be like a really difficult task.
35. Bosnia and Herzegovina
- World Cup odds: 0.3% (Kalshi), 0.4% (Polymarket)
- Group B odds: 20% (Kalshi), 22% (Polymarket)
- First match: Friday, June 12, 2026 – 3:00 PM ET vs Canada at BMO Field, Toronto
This workforce deserves credit score for getting the higher of Italy within the playoffs. Veteran striker Edin Džeko continues to be harmful at the age of 40, and the squad is full of powerful, hardworking gamers. They might lack creativity, however Group B is open, and Bosnia and Herzegovina may trigger issues for Canada, Qatar, and Switzerland.
36. South Africa
- World Cup odds: 0.2% (Kalshi), 0.3% (Polymarket)
- Group A odds: 5% (Kalshi), 7% (Polymarket)
- First match: Thursday, June 11, 2026 – 3:00 PM ET vs Mexico at Estadio Azteca, Mexico City
The opener in opposition to Mexico will likely be a baptism of fireside, however South Africa seemed assured within the qualifying marketing campaign. This is a fearless workforce, led by two technically gifted forwards in Lyle Foster and Percy Tau. Bafana Bafana may give South Korea and Czechia a run for his or her cash.
37. Saudi Arabia
- World Cup odds: 0.1% (Kalshi), 0.3% (Polymarket)
- Group H odds: 3% (Kalshi), 3% (Polymarket)
- First match: Monday, June 15, 2026 – 6:00 PM ET vs Uruguay at Hard Rock Stadium, Miami
The Saudis pulled off arguably probably the most well-known upset in World Cup historical past once they beat eventual champion Argentina within the group stage in 2022. Manager Hervé Renard, who masterminded that victory, was fired simply two months earlier than this event and changed by Greek coach Georgios Donis, whose familiarity with Saudi Pro League gamers was the said rationale. The disruption may nonetheless impression the workforce’s preparations, so they might battle to get out of the group stage.
38. Iran
- World Cup odds: 0.2% (Kalshi), 0.2% (Polymarket)
- Group G odds: 11% (Kalshi), 4% (Polymarket)
- First match: Monday, June 15, 2026 – 9:00 PM ET vs New Zealand at SoFi Stadium, Los Angeles
Iran was one of many strongest groups within the Asian qualifying marketing campaign, however it might not even take part on this event. Kalshi solely offers the workforce a 79% probability of participating, amid ongoing tensions between the US and Iran. If they make it, the Iranians have an opportunity of constructing the Round of 32, however it’s arduous to see them going any additional than that.
39. Panama
- World Cup odds: 0.1% (Kalshi), 0.3% (Polymarket)
- Group L odds: 3% (Kalshi), 2% (Polymarket)
- First match: Wednesday, June 17, 2026 – 7:00 PM ET vs Ghana at BMO Field, Toronto
Panama did nicely to qualify for this event forward of Costa Rica and Honduras. Los Canaleros are as much as No. 33 on this planet rankings after beating South Africa 2-1 in March. Thomas Christiansen has them well-drilled in protection, and Cecilio Waterman and Ismael Díaz present tempo and aptitude in assault.
40. Uzbekistan
- World Cup odds: 0.1% (Kalshi), 0.3% (Polymarket)
- Group Ok odds: 1% (Kalshi), 2% (Polymarket)
- First match: Wednesday, June 17, 2026 – 10:00 PM ET vs Colombia at Estadio Azteca, Mexico City
Uzbekistan will compete in its first World Cup after sweeping its rivals apart within the Asian qualifying marketing campaign. Captain Eldor Shomurodov has scored 44 objectives in 90 video games for his nation, however the supporting forged seems to be a little bit flimsy. Landing in the identical group as Portugal and Colombia was unlucky, however Uzbekistan may trigger issues for DR Congo within the different sport.
41. New Zealand
- World Cup odds: 0.1% (Kalshi), 0.3% (Polymarket)
- Group G odds: 4% (Kalshi), 2% (Polymarket)
- First match: Monday, June 15, 2026 – 9:00 PM ET vs Iran at SoFi Stadium, Los Angeles
The Kiwis will attempt to get the ball to Nottingham Forest striker Chris Wood as typically as potential at this event. He has been very prolific within the Premier League over the previous few years, and not too long ago returned from a prolonged harm layoff, so he ought to be contemporary. There isn’t quite a lot of high quality within the squad, however New Zealand might be aggressive in opposition to Iran and Egypt in Group G.
42. DR Congo
- World Cup odds: 0.1% (Kalshi), 0.3% (Polymarket)
- Group Ok odds: 13% (Kalshi), 5% (Polymarket)
- First match: Wednesday, June 17, 2026 – 1:00 PM ET vs Portugal at NRG Stadium, Houston
DR Congo beat a robust Nigeria workforce to qualify for this event. Newcastle’s Yoane Wissa and Real Betis ahead Cédric Bakambu present high quality in assault, and the protection seems to be respectable, too. DR Congo will start its marketing campaign with video games in opposition to Portugal and Colombia, which is brutal, however will probably be fascinating to see how the workforce fares in opposition to Uzbekistan.
43. Cabo Verde
- World Cup odds: 0.1% (Kalshi), 0.3% (Polymarket)
- Group H odds: 2% (Kalshi), 1% (Polymarket)
- First match: Monday, June 15, 2026 – 12:00 PM ET vs Spain at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta
Cabo Verde has a inhabitants of round 492,000, so will probably be powerful for this workforce to compete with Spain, Uruguay, and Saudi Arabia in Group H. The Blue Sharks play with technical fluidity, however they may finally be outclassed by their group stage rivals.
44. Iraq
- World Cup odds: 0.1% (Kalshi), 0.3% (Polymarket)
- Group I odds: 2% (Kalshi), 1% (Polymarket)
- First match: Tuesday, June 16, 2026 – 6:00 PM ET vs Norway at Gillette Stadium, Boston
Iraq turned the final workforce to qualify after beating Bolivia in an intercontinental playoff. The Iraqis are taking part in at their first World Cup since 1986, however they’re unlikely to make a lot of a splash at this event. They’re up in opposition to France, Norway, and Senegal within the group stage, so it might be stunning in the event that they earned a single level.
45. Qatar
- World Cup odds: 0.1% (Kalshi), 0.3% (Polymarket)
- Group B odds: 2% (Kalshi), 2% (Polymarket)
- First match: Saturday, June 13, 2026 – 3:00 PM ET vs Switzerland at Levi’s Stadium, San Francisco
Qatar certified for the 2022 World Cup because the host nation, however it misplaced all three of its group stage video games. The squad options a number of skilled forwards, together with Hassan Al-Haydos, Almoez Ali, and Akram Afif, however they’ll battle to take factors off Switzerland, Canada, and Bosnia and Herzegovina in Group B.
46. Haiti
- World Cup odds: 0.1% (Kalshi), 0.2% (Polymarket)
- Group C odds: >1% (Kalshi), 1% (Polymarket)
- First match: Saturday, June 13, 2026 – 9:00 PM ET vs Scotland at Gillette Stadium, Boston
Haiti’s preparations for this event have been chaotic. The Grenadiers needed to play all of their “residence” video games abroad attributable to gang violence, they usually haven’t had a safe coaching base. They’re a resilient workforce, however a scarcity of preparation may harm their probabilities of reaching the Round of 32.
47. Jordan
- World Cup odds: 0.1% (Kalshi), 0.3% (Polymarket)
- Group J odds: 2% (Kalshi), 3% (Polymarket)
- First match: Wednesday, June 17, 2026 – 12:00 AM ET vs Austria at Levi’s Stadium, San Francisco
This will likely be Jordan’s first World Cup look. Mousa Tamari impressed the workforce to some spectacular leads to qualifying, however taking factors off Argentina, Austria, and Algeria in Group J is a tall order.
48. Curaçao
- World Cup odds: 0.1% (Kalshi), 0.3% (Polymarket)
- Group E odds: >1% (Kalshi), 1% (Polymarket)
- First match: Sunday, June 14, 2026 – 1:00 PM ET vs Germany at NRG Stadium, Houston
Curaçao is the smallest nation ever to qualify for the World Cup, with a inhabitants of simply 156,115. Dick Advocaat, 78, can also be the oldest supervisor within the event’s historical past. The workforce might be crushed by Germany, Ivory Coast, and Ecuador, however the gamers ought to nonetheless relish the expertise.
The put up 2026 World Cup Power Rankings: All 48 Teams Ranked at Prediction Markets appeared first on DeFi Rate.
