Pentagon Drops First-Ever Alien Files, Polymarket Bets Hit $33 Million
Crypto-native prediction markets reacted inside minutes after the Pentagon launched its first declassified UAP recordsdata on Friday, extra famously being labeled because the ‘Alien Files’. Polymarket’s flagship alien disclosure market has now reached a cumulative quantity of over $33 million.
The Department of War launched the Presidential Unsealing and Reporting System for UAP Encounters (PURSUE) on Friday. Officials posted Release 01 to a public WAR.GOV/UFO portal, with rolling tranches promised each few weeks.
Polymarket Disclosure Bets Tops $33 Million
Traders on Polymarket have wagered roughly $33 million on whether or not a senior U.S. official will verify extraterrestrial life by year-end. The crypto-native prediction platform sat at 19% on May 8 after Release 01 dropped.
A separate market on whether or not Trump declassifies new UFO files this year costs December 31 at 83%. Bettors seem positioned for extra rolling tranches quite than a single dramatic occasion.
“This launch follows the route of President Donald J. Trump to start the method of figuring out and declassifying authorities recordsdata associated to UAP within the curiosity of whole transparency,” read an excerpt within the Friday announcement.
A separate $16 million market asking whether or not the administration would declassify UFO recordsdata in 2025 resolved “Yes” earlier this 12 months.
No formal presidential declassification passed off on the time. Late-session bids close to 99 cents and a contested UMA oracle vote pushed the result by way of.
Comment threads on the platform labeled the decision a rip-off. Critics dubbed the dispute mechanism “proof-of-whales,” reigniting questions on token-weighted oracles overriding dealer consensus.
What Rolling Releases Mean for the Markets
The Department of War welcomes private-sector evaluation of the unresolved circumstances. Each new tranche may transfer disclosure odds and revive the dispute round how oracles name ambiguous outcomes.
If headline catalysts maintain arriving, the prediction-market lens might develop into the cleanest gauge of how seriously markets price disclosure narratives.
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