Spain vs. Saudi Arabia World Cup Odds: Predictions for Sunday’s Match
The 2026 World Cup Round of 32 is beginning to take form. Germany, the Netherlands, and Japan now be part of Mexico and USA as the most recent groups to qualify for the knockout stage after securing spectacular wins yesterday.
Prediction markets have Spain at 89% chance to beat Saudi Arabia right this moment. The workforce was a lock for the knockout stage till a disappointing 0-0 draw towards Cape Verde. A flat draw with Cape Verde, plus France’s sturdy begin, has dropped La Roja to second-favorite to raise the trophy.
Here’s the place the markets are pricing the Spain vs. Saudi Arabia matchup throughout Kalshi and Polymarket. Kick off is at 12 p.m ET.
| Market | Polymarket | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline (Spain) | 89% | 89% |
| Moneyline (Draw) | 8% | 9% |
| Moneyline (Saudi Arabia) | 4% | 5% |
| Spread (Spain -2.5) | 55% | 55% |
| Spread (Saudi Arabia +2.5) | 46% | 46% |
| Total Goals (Over 3.5) | 51% | 51% |
| Total Goals (Under 3.5) | 50% | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score (Yes) | 35% | 34% |
| Both Teams to Score (No) | 66% | 67% |
| First Team to Score (Spain) | 87% | 87% |
| First Team to Score (Neither) | 4% | 4% |
| First Team to Score (Saudi Arabia) | 13% | 11% |
Saudi Arabia battled to a 1-1 draw with Uruguay on Matchday 1, however that was largely right down to a heroic efficiency from goalkeeper Mohammed Al-Owais. He made 10 saves in that sport, because the Saudis needed to repel wave after wave of assaults from Uruguay. Spain is all too acquainted with goalkeeping heroics, as Cape Verde’s Vozinha delivered a masterclass in that 0-0 draw on Matchday 1. Spain dominated the sport, with 74% of the possession and 23 pictures, however Vozinha channeled his interior Gandalf and primarily stated: “You shall not move!”
Spain was lacking star wingers Lamine Yamal and Nico Williams for most of that sport, as they’ve each been battling accidents. Yamal may return to the beginning lineup for this match, which might give La Roja an enormous enhance. Prediction websites give Spain an 89% likelihood of profitable the sport. The draw sits at 8%, and a Saudi Arabia win is priced at simply 4%.
For extra worth, you’ll be able to again Spain to cowl a 2.5-goal unfold, which is buying and selling at 50% on Kalshi.
More World Cup odds for right this moment’s matches
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia headlines the slate, however a number of different Group stage fixtures kick off right this moment. Here are the prediction market odds for the remainder of the day’s matchups.
Belgium vs. Iran, 3 p.m. ET
Prediction markets anticipate Belgium to beat Iran when the groups conflict at SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles this afternoon (3 p.m. ET kickoff).
| Market | Polymarket | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline (Belgium) | 68% | 69% |
| Moneyline (Draw) | 21% | 21% |
| Moneyline (Iran) | 13% | 12% |
| Spread (Belgium -1.5) | 44% | 44% |
| Spread (Iran +1.5) | 57% | 57% |
| Total Goals (Over 2.5) | 54% | 54% |
| Total Goals (Under 2.5) | 47% | 47% |
| Both Teams to Score (Yes) | 50% | 48% |
| Both Teams to Score (No) | 51% | 53% |
| First Team to Score (Belgium) | 72% | 73% |
| First Team to Score (Neither) | 7% | 6% |
| First Team to Score (Iran) | 26% | 23% |
Belgium may solely draw 1-1 with Egypt in its opening sport of the event. Romelu Lukaku made an on the spot influence after coming off the bench within the 67th minute of that sport. Within seconds of coming onto the pitch, he prompted Egypt defender Mohamed Hany to attain an personal aim beneath intense stress. That aim made it 1-1, and Lukaku virtually received the sport for Belgium, however his late header drifted huge.
Manager Rudi Garcia prompt that Lukaku isn’t match sufficient to start out but, however he may trigger issues for Iran’s protection within the second half of this sport. The Belgians will even be missing star winger Jérémy Doku, who’s sick. However, merchants nonetheless assume they are going to have sufficient firepower to beat Iran.
The Iranians drew 2-2 with a weak New Zealand workforce on Matchday 1, they usually’ve struggled amid increasingly difficult preparation conditions throughout this event.
For that purpose, Belgium is priced at 69% with Kalshi and 68% with Polymarket to win this sport.
Uruguay vs. Cape Verde, 6 p.m. ET
Uruguay will intention to return to profitable methods when it takes on Cape Verde in Miami this night (6 p.m. ET kickoff). Marcelo Bielsa’s males have been thwarted by Al-Owais of their 1-1 draw with Saudi Arabia earlier this week. They will now come up towards one other assured goalkeeper in Vozinha, however prediction markets anticipate them to win this match.
| Market | Polymarket | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline (Uruguay) | 68% | 68% |
| Moneyline (Draw) | 23% | 23% |
| Moneyline (Cape Verde) | 11% | 11% |
| Spread (Uruguay -1.5) | 38% | 39% |
| Spread (Cape Verde +1.5) | 63% | 62% |
| Total Goals (Over 2.5) | 42% | 41% |
| Total Goals (Under 2.5) | 59% | 60% |
| Both Teams to Score (Yes) | 39% | 39% |
| Both Teams to Score (No) | 62% | 62% |
| First Team to Score (Uruguay) | 70% | 72% |
| First Team to Score (Neither) | 11% | 10% |
| First Team to Score (Cape Verde) | 19% | 19% |
A Uruguay win is priced at 68% with Polymarket and Kalshi. La Celeste can name upon elite gamers like Federico Valverde and Maxi Araújo, so that they have sufficient high quality to outclass Cape Verde. However, Vozinha was excellent towards Spain final day out, so it could take one thing particular to beat him this night.
Under 2.5 objectives is priced at 59% with Polymarket, as merchants predict one other tense, low-scoring sport.
New Zealand vs. Egypt, 3 p.m. ET
New Zealand defied the chances to clinch a 2-2 draw with Iran in its opener. The Kiwis have been clear underdogs for that sport, however two objectives from winger Elijah Just earned them a invaluable level. Nottingham Forest striker Chris Wood assisted each of Just’s objectives, and he impressed together with his hold-up play.
Preditction markets anticipate New Zealand to battle towards a powerful Egypt workforce right this moment. The sport kicks off at 3 p.m. ET in Vancouver. Egypt performed effectively in that 1-1 draw with Belgium, and it has harmful forwards like Mohamed Salah, Omar Marmoush, and Emam Ashour in its ranks. An Egypt win is priced at 61% with Kalshi and Polymarket.
| Market | Polymarket | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline (New Zealand) | 16% | 17% |
| Moneyline (Draw) | 24% | 24% |
| Moneyline (Egypt) | 62% | 61% |
| Spread (New Zealand +1.5) | 66% | 67% |
| Spread (Egypt -1.5) | 35% | 31% |
| Total Goals (Over 2.5) | 47% | 47% |
| Total Goals (Under 2.5) | 54% | 54% |
| Both Teams to Score (Yes) | 46% | 46% |
| Both Teams to Score (No) | 55% | 55% |
| First Team to Score (New Zealand) | 28% | 28% |
| First Team to Score (Neither) | 9% | 9% |
| First Team to Score (Egypt) | 66% | 65% |
The draw sits at 24%, and New Zealand is a 17% underdog. If you anticipate a heavy win for Egypt, Kalshi has 33% on the Pharaohs protecting a 1.5-goal unfold. Over 2.5 objectives is priced at 47%, which seems attention-grabbing after that 2-2 draw between New Zealand and Iran earlier this week.
Today’s matches may decide which groups qualify for the knockout stage in Groups G and H, however the drama doesn’t finish there. Soccer followers can nonetheless sit up for an extra 16 video games on Matchday 2 this week, and groups like Scotland, Ecuador, and Paraguay are gearing up for essential Matchday 3 fixtures. Prices are shifting quickly on Kalshi and Polymarket as the image sharpens.
For dwell World Cup pricing throughout each platforms and each present sign-up provide, see our prediction markets promos. New customers can enter promo code RATE for a $10 Kalshi bonus (after $10 in trades) or a $50 Polymarket bonus (deposit $20).
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