Everyone Expects XRP to Crash Further: Is Ripple About to Surprise the Market?
The previous a number of months haven’t been sort to XRP. After it marked a brand new all-time high in mid-July 2025, it has been largely downhill, dropping over 70% of its worth, dumping towards $1.00, being surpassed by BNB and USDC by way of market cap, and registering six consecutive months in the purple at one level.
Amid all of those opposed developments, some analysts have turned extremely bearish on the asset. While the dominant perception is that XRP has reached its most vital second throughout this cycle, some, reminiscent of Ali Martinez, pointed to potential drops to the subsequent essential assist ranges at $0.80, $0.62, or $0.51 if the $1.00 flooring offers in.
Glassnode warned that XRP token holders proceed to understand extra losses than income, indicating intensifying promoting stress even amongst buyers in the purple. Even ChatGPT made some worrying predictions if the asset certainly flips $1.00 from assist into resistance quickly. But possibly such low sentiment is what is required for XRP to flip issues round.
Run Up Instead?
Paradoxically, historical past exhibits that the markets hardly ever reward such consensus. In truth, Warren Buffett has mentioned it greatest, “Be fearful when others are grasping, and be grasping when others are fearful.”
Extreme pessimism has ceaselessly appeared close to necessary turning factors throughout the crypto market. BTC, ETH, and XRP have all skilled intervals the place sentiment collapsed and remained there for some time earlier than main recoveries started. This is mostly doable when weak fingers exited, and long-term buyers quietly accrued.
For XRP, this accumulation seems to be coming from ETF buyers, as the funds monitoring its efficiency have seen a green-only streak of eight consecutive weeks, whereas the BTC and ETH ETFs have bled out closely.
The latest sell-off additionally pushed a number of on-chain and technical metrics into traditionally oversold territory. Some analysts argue that XRP could also be approaching a zone the place risk-reward begins to enhance, even when short-term volatility persists.
History is certainly on XRP’s facet. Recall that the asset’s sentiment had plunged to related ranges in mid-June however skyrocketed by double digits inside 24 hours as the analytics firm Santiment attributed that rally to the deteriorating investor conduct.
July Agrees
Current knowledge present that XRP is on monitor to shut June with a decline of over 20%, its worst month-to-month efficiency since February 2025. Data from CryptoRank means that this aligns with earlier performances, as June has been a predominantly bearish month for the asset.
On the opposite stands July. XRP has closed every of the previous six editions in the inexperienced, exhibiting some spectacular features. Five out of the six have seen double-digit worth will increase, together with huge 45%+ pumps in 2020 and 2023. The median acquire for July stands at shut to 11%.

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