Argentina vs. Cape Verde World Cup Odds: Predictions and Picks for Today’s Game
Spain, Portugal, and Switzerland turned the most recent groups to qualify for the World Cup Round of 16 yesterday.
They will be a part of Canada, Mexico, France, Norway, Brazil, Morocco, Paraguay, England, Belgium, and the USA. Several elite groups will bid to hitch them within the subsequent spherical by successful their video games at present.
Prediction markets give Argentina an 86% probability of beating Cape Verde in regulation time at present. La Albiceleste are buying and selling at 94% with Polymarket and 92% with Kalshi to advance to the Round of 16 at Cape Verde’s expense, a market that additionally contains further time and penalties, if crucial.
The first sport of the day sees Australia tackle Egypt in Dallas. Argentina and Cape Verde will then play out a David vs. Goliath battle earlier than Colombia takes on Ghana in Kansas City.
Here’s how markets are pricing the Argentina vs. Cape Verde matchup on Kalshi and Polymarket. Kickoff is at 6 p.m. ET on FOX from Hard Rock Stadium in Miami.
Kalshi and Polymarket are providing promos for this sport. Get $10 on Kalshi with code RATE, or choose Polymarket for a $50 bonus in your first $20 deposit. Code RATE additionally applies.
Argentina vs. Cape Verde, 6 p.m. ET
Kalshi vs. Polymarket odds on Argentina vs. Cape Verde (*buying and selling accessible in 49 states)
Prediction websites anticipate Argentina to safe a heavy win in opposition to Cape Verde when the groups conflict in Miami this night. Cape Verde has drawn all three video games to this point at this match, however will probably be tough for the Blue Sharks to include Lionel Messi. He performs for Inter Miami, so he ought to profit from the gang’s backing on this sport.
| Market | Polymarket | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|
| To Advance (Argentina) | 94% | 92% |
| To Advance (Cape Verde) | 7% | 8% |
| Regulation Time Moneyline (Argentina) | 87% | 86% |
| Regulation Time Moneyline (Draw) | 11% | 11% |
| Regulation Time Moneyline (Cape Verde) | 4% | 4% |
| Regulation Time Spread (Argentina -2.5) | 41% | 42% |
| Regulation Time Spread (Cape Verde +2.5) | 60% | 59% |
| Regulation Time Total Goals (Over 2.5) | 61% | 61% |
| Regulation Time Total Goals (Under 2.5) | 40% | 40% |
| Regulation Time Both Teams to Score (Yes) | 32% | 33% |
| Regulation Time Both Teams to Score (No) | 69% | 68% |
| Regulation Time First Team to Score (Argentina) | 85% | 85% |
| Regulation Time First Team to Score (Neither) | 5% | 5% |
| Regulation Time First Team to Score (Cape Verde) | 11% | 11% |
How Argentina vs. Cape Verde breaks down
Messi celebrated his 39th birthday final week, however Argentina’s captain reveals no indicators of slowing down. He fired in a hat-trick to encourage his staff to a 3-0 win against Algeria firstly of this match, earlier than scoring each objectives in a 2-0 victory over Austria. Manager Lionel Scaloni gave Messi a breather on Matchday 3, however he got here off the bench to attain a free kick in a 3-1 win in opposition to Jordan.
That means Messi is now the favourite to win the World Cup Golden Boot this summer season. He’s the all-time main goalscorer on this competitors, and he’s priced at 67% with Kalshi to search out the again of the online on this match. The supporting solid is extraordinarily proficient, that includes the likes of Lautaro Martínez and Enzo Fernández, so Argentina is buying and selling at 41% with Polymarket to cowl a 2.5-goal unfold at present. Another choice is to again Argentina to attain over 2.5 objectives within the sport at 51% with Polymarket, because it has averaged 2.67 objectives per match to this point.
Cape Verde deserves credit score for ending second in its group. The Blue Sharks secured an unbelievable 0-0 draw with Spain, courtesy of Vozinha’s goalkeeping heroics, earlier than drawing 2-2 with an out-of-sorts Uruguay. They then performed out a 0-0 draw with Saudi Arabia to advance to the Round of 32, however merchants suppose that this could possibly be the top of the street for Cape Verde.
Spain winger Lamine Yamal missed most of that 0-0 draw, so this would be the first time that Cape Verde’s protection has confronted elite forwards for 90 minutes at this match. The staff repeatedly defied the percentages, nevertheless it might lastly run out of steam in opposition to Messi at present.
More World Cup odds for at present’s matches
There are two extra World Cup matchups going down at present. We’ve explored how Kalshi and Polymarket are pricing them.
Australia vs. Egypt, 2 p.m. ET
Traders anticipate a decent, low-scoring sport between Australia and Egypt in Dallas. Over 2.5 objectives is priced at simply 35%, and a 0-0 draw is buying and selling at 14%.
Kalshi vs. Polymarket odds on Australia vs. Egypt (*buying and selling accessible in 49 states)
| Market | Polymarket | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|
| To Advance (Australia) | 42% | 42% |
| To Advance (Egypt) | 59% | 58% |
| Regulation Time Moneyline (Australia) | 27% | 28% |
| Regulation Time Moneyline (Draw) | 34% | 34% |
| Regulation Time Moneyline (Egypt) | 41% | 41% |
| Regulation Time Spread (Australia +1.5) | 83% | 83% |
| Regulation Time Spread (Egypt -1.5) | 18% | 18% |
| Regulation Time Total Goals (Over 1.5) | 63% | 63% |
| Regulation Time Total Goals (Under 1.5) | 38% | 38% |
| Regulation Time Both Teams to Score (Yes) | 45% | 46% |
| Regulation Time Both Teams to Score (No) | 56% | 55% |
| Regulation Time First Team to Score (Australia) | 38% | 38% |
| Regulation Time First Team to Score (Neither) | 14% | 12% |
| Regulation Time First Team to Score (Egypt) | 51% | 53% |
Egypt stays unbeaten at this match. The Pharaohs drew 1-1 with a powerful Belgium staff on Matchday 1, earlier than easing to a 3-1 win against New Zealand. They then clinched second place in Group G after drawing 1-1 with Iran.
The protection has seemed weak, however Mohamed Salah, Trézéguet, Mostafa Ziko, and Omar Marmoush are harmful in assault. Salah is predicted to play on this sport regardless of selecting up a hamstring pressure in opposition to Iran, which might give Egypt a significant enhance.
Australia started the 2026 World Cup with a well-known 2-0 win in opposition to Türkiye. The Socceroos didn’t have a lot possession, however they had been devastating on the counterattack. They then misplaced 2-0 to the USMNT, however a 0-0 draw with Paraguay earned them a spot within the Round of 32.
Prediction markets give Egypt a slight edge on this sport, and that is smart. The Pharaohs have much more firepower than Australia, and if they will unleash the likes of Salah, Marmoush, and Trézéguet, they need to advance to the subsequent spherical.
Colombia vs. Ghana, 9:30 p.m. ET
The last sport of the day sees Colombia tackle Ghana at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City. Colombia is the heavy favourite to advance, nevertheless it might want to overcome a well-drilled Ghana protection.
Kalshi vs. Polymarket odds on Colombia vs. Ghana (*buying and selling accessible in 49 states)
| Market | Polymarket | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|
| To Advance (Colombia) | 81% | 79% |
| To Advance (Ghana) | 20% | 21% |
| Regulation Time Moneyline (Colombia) | 69% | 68% |
| Regulation Time Moneyline (Draw) | 22% | 23% |
| Regulation Time Moneyline (Ghana) | 10% | 11% |
| Regulation Time Spread (Colombia -1.5) | 42% | 43% |
| Regulation Time Spread (Ghana +1.5) | 59% | 58% |
| Regulation Time Total Goals (Over 2.5) | 46% | 45% |
| Regulation Time Total Goals (Under 2.5) | 55% | 56% |
| Regulation Time Both Teams to Score (Yes) | 41% | 42% |
| Regulation Time Both Teams to Score (No) | 60% | 59% |
| Regulation Time First Team to Score (Colombia) | 70% | 70% |
| Regulation Time First Team to Score (Neither) | 10% | 8% |
| Regulation Time First Team to Score (Ghana) | 22% | 23% |
Colombia completed high of Group Okay after selecting up seven factors from three video games. Los Cafeteros beat Uzbekistan and DR Congo earlier than drawing 0-0 with Portugal on Matchday 3. Their reward is a Round of 32 conflict with Ghana, which completed third in Group L.
Ghana was a bit lucky to beat Panama 1-0 on Matchday 1, however the Black Stars had been very good in protection in a 0-0 draw with England. However, they misplaced 2-1 to Croatia within the group stage nearer, in order that they now face a stern check of their mettle in opposition to Colombia.
The Ghanaians have been content material to sit down again in a low block, soak up stress, and launch occasional counterattacks at this match. Colombia ought to dominate possession on this sport, and it would win if key gamers like Luis Díaz and James Rodríguez are on music. Ghana’s status for defensive solidity was dented in that 2-1 defeat to Croatia, so it’s straightforward to see why Colombia is priced at 68% with Kalshi to win this sport in regulation time.
Round of 16 begins tomorrow
The Round of 32 concludes at present, however there’s no time for soccer followers to catch their breath, because the World Cup Round of 16 will get underway tomorrow. There are two massive video games on Saturday’s slate:
- Canada vs. Morocco
- Paraguay vs. France
The motion continues on Sunday with Brazil vs. Norway at MetLife Stadium and Mexico vs. England at Estadio Azteca in Mexico City. For reside World Cup pricing on Kalshi and Polymarket, plus all present sign-up gives, see our prediction markets promos. New customers can enter promo code RATE for a $10 Kalshi bonus (after $10 in trades) or a $50 Polymarket bonus (deposit $20).
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