World Cup Semifinal Props Today: Picks and Predictions for France vs. Spain
Prediction markets give France a 41% likelihood of beating Spain in regulation time when the groups meet in Dallas for a World Cup semifinal showdown this afternoon. Les Bleus are priced at 59% to advance to the semifinals at Spain’s expense, a market that additionally contains further time and penalties, if vital.
Prediction websites are additionally providing a variety of props on the large recreation, which kicks off at 3 p.m. ET on FOX from AT&T Stadium. We’ve highlighted essentially the most attention-grabbing France vs. Spain props and explored the place the worth lies.
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France vs. Spain, 3 p.m. ET
Kalshi vs. Polymarket props on France vs. Spain (*buying and selling out there in 49 states)
France has the perfect attacking report at this event. Les Bleus have scored 2.7 objectives per recreation, with Kylian Mbappé, Ousmane Dembélé, and Michael Olise main the cost. Those world-class forwards will must be at their good finest in opposition to Spain’s protection, which has conceded only one aim in six matches thus far.
| Market | Polymarket | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|
| Both Teams to Score (Yes) | 60% | 62% |
| Both Teams to Score (No) | 41% | 39% |
| Kylian Mbappé to Score | 45% | 46% |
| Ousmane Dembélé to Score | 25% | 26% |
| Mikel Oyarzabal to Score | 28% | 29% |
| Lamine Yamal to Assist | 21% | 23% |
| Michael Olise to Assist | 31% | 29% |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 48% | 59% |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 53% | 43% |
Best France vs. Spain props
Prediction markets anticipate France to win this recreation, however Spain has dominated the current head-to-heads between these groups. Goals from Lamine Yamal and Dani Olmo impressed La Roja to a 2-1 win over France within the 2024 European Championship semifinals. Spain has gone from energy to energy since profitable that event, and it’s at the moment on a record-equalling 36-game unbeaten streak. The groups renewed hostilities within the UEFA Nations League semifinals final 12 months, and Spain gained that recreation 5-4.
Both groups to attain has paid off within the final three conferences between these groups. It’s buying and selling at 60% with Polymarket for right this moment’s recreation, and that might be a preferred market. Polymarket additionally enables you to unlock extra worth by combining each groups to attain with over 2.5 objectives. That might additionally show in style, as over 2.5 objectives has landed within the final three matches between these groups too.
Spain has scored 1.83 objectives per recreation at this event. La Roja drew a clean in opposition to Cape Verde of their opener, however they have been lacking Yamal for most of that recreation. They’ve discovered the again of the online in all 5 matches since then. Their protection appeared impregnable, nevertheless it was lastly breached in a 2-1 win against Belgium within the quarterfinals. France is way stronger in assault than Belgium, so it also needs to discover a well past Spain’s protection. At the opposite finish of the pitch, Les Bleus will discover it tough to include the likes of Yamal, Olmo, and Mikel Oyarzabal for 90 minutes.
Mbappé at the moment leads the Golden Boot race after scoring eight objectives in six video games at this event. He solely failed to attain in one in all France’s six matches – a 4-1 win in opposition to Norway. Mbappé has scored 20 objectives in 20 World Cup appearances throughout his profession, and he’s priced at 45% with Polymarket so as to add to that tally right this moment. He has scored two objectives in three aggressive matches in opposition to Spain. If Mbappé misfires, Dembélé usually picks up the slack. He scored a hat trick in opposition to Norway and has 5 objectives within the event. Dembélé affords extra worth at 25% with Polymarket to attain.
This recreation can even function two of the world’s most artistic gamers. Olise has supplied 5 assists at this event, and he’s buying and selling at 29% with Kalshi so as to add one other right this moment. Yamal hasn’t actually been enjoying at his full potential, however he stays Spain’s artistic spark, and he’s priced at 21% with Polymarket to help. Kalshi additionally has 45% on Yamal to both rating or help, and 41% on Dembélé to both rating or help. Oyarzabal is Spain’s prime scorer with 4 objectives, and he’s buying and selling at 28% on this recreation. Mikel Merino, who got here off the bench to attain the profitable objectives in Spain’s final two matches, is a worth play at 16% with Polymarket.
Spain has been awarded 7.33 corners per recreation at this event, whereas France has earned 6.83 corners per recreation. Over 9.5 corners paid off in all three of France’s knockout stage video games, and it additionally landed in Spain’s final two matches. Polymarket costs it at 48%.
World Cup semifinals conclude tomorrow
The World Cup quarterfinals will conclude with one other eagerly anticipated recreation between England and Argentina tomorrow. The recreation kicks off at 3 p.m. ET in Atlanta.
For reside World Cup pricing on Kalshi and Polymarket, plus all present sign-up affords, see our prediction markets promos. New customers can enter promo code RATE for a $15 Kalshi bonus (after $15 in trades) or a $50 Polymarket bonus (deposit $20).
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