XRP Flashes 3 Warning Signs as Big Buyers Step Back

October has examined crypto markets, and XRP (XRP) worth has struggled to maintain its footing. The token has dropped by double digits this month, together with a 4.81% slide over the previous week to $1.30.

The decline comes as XRP flashes 3 bearish indicators directly. Whales are withdrawing much less from exchanges, extra tokens are touchdown on these platforms, and spot ETF demand has stalled.

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Binance Whales Seem to Be Waiting for a Cheaper Entry

The first signal comes from Binance, the place whale outflows have fallen to their lowest degree in 5 years, in line with on-chain analyst Darkfost. Their 90-day common now stands at $49.7 million, down from $3.5 billion in February 2025.

Darkfost described that earlier wave as heavy accumulation. The analyst stated whales are in all probability ready for a greater worth earlier than stepping again in. 

XRP has held up comparatively effectively throughout this bear market, so its worth has not fallen sufficient to attract them in. In 2022 and 2023, by comparability, whales discovered costs engaging sufficient to build up closely.

“From a long-term perspective, this implies XRP may lack shopping for quantity with out whale help. That stated, it’s not a tough rule, generally the development reverses exactly when volumes and curiosity collapse,” the analyst added.

More XRP Is Sitting Where It Can Be Sold

Exchange deposits present the second signal. Crypto exchanges acquired 6.05 billion XRP over 30 days, a 7-month high, according to Arab Chain. Binance alone took 2.46 billion XRP, roughly 40% of the overall. 

The analyst cautioned that rising deposits don’t robotically sign promoting. Wallet transfers, asset redistribution, and heavier buying and selling can produce the identical sample.

Even so, the brand new deposits add to the XRP reserves already sitting on exchanges. Those tokens can be simpler to soak up with regular institutional demand, however spot ETF flows level the opposite approach. 

ETF Buyers Go Quiet After Their Strongest Stretch Since December

US spot XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs) misplaced a internet $1.84 million within the week ending October 16, per SoSoValue. The outflow ended a 13-week inflow streak.

Flows have thinned by means of October, with zero internet flows in 4 of the final 7 buying and selling periods. As a outcome, October inflows whole simply $10.25 million to this point, towards $121.4 million in September.

Total internet belongings fell to $1.48 billion from a $1.77 billion peak on September 25. Cumulative inflows barely moved, so XRP’s falling worth drove most of that drop.

XRP’s Calendar Offers Little Relief Before November

That worth weak spot exhibits in XRP’s month-to-month returns. August and September, the strongest two-month stretch of ETF inflows since December, had been additionally XRP’s finest months of 2026.

XRP gained 30% in August and seven.95% in September, in line with CryptoRank, however has fallen 12.5% since October 1.

History provides little consolation for the weeks forward. XRP has closed 8 of its 13 Octobers decrease, and its median November return is minus 10%.

November’s 80.2% common acquire seems stronger, however outsized rallies in 2013, 2020, and 2024 inflate that determine.

A rebound in whale withdrawals or ETF inflows would offer the first evidence that XRP patrons are returning.

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