Bitcoin Price Echoes 2021 Warning as RSI Divergence Flashes Red
TL;DR
- Bitcoin types weekly RSI divergence whereas the value makes increased highs, echoing the 2021 cycle prime sample.
- BTC trades under the $112K assist; analysts warn of a broader correction if this stage fails.
- Illiquid provide surges on Binance; whales holding tight could drive costs up or trigger sharp drops.
Bitcoin Varieties Bearish Divergence Much like 2021
Bitcoin is exhibiting a weekly chart sample that resembles what appeared simply earlier than the 2021 cycle prime. The present construction consists of increased highs in worth whereas the Relative Energy Index (RSI) types decrease highs. This divergence typically seems when momentum slows down throughout a rally.
Crypto analyst Ali Martinez identified this sign. He defined that the identical setup appeared forward of the 2021 peak, the place Bitcoin topped out after which started an extended downward part.
Now, as BTC not too long ago traded near $120,000, the RSI has not saved tempo. This hole between worth and energy indicators suggests diminished shopping for strain at increased ranges.
Bitcoin $BTC is making increased highs whereas RSI makes decrease lows. This is identical divergence seen earlier than the 2021 cycle prime! pic.twitter.com/tR0IT25AVf
— Ali (@ali_charts) August 29, 2025
Worth Struggles Round Key Assist Zone
Bitcoin was buying and selling at round $110,100 at press time, exhibiting a slight drop of two% over the past 24 hours and a couple of% since final Friday. The $112,000 space is now considered as a key assist zone. Some analysts consider that holding this stage might determine the short-term course.
Michaël van de Poppe shared a chart exhibiting that if Bitcoin breaks under $112,000, a deeper pullback might observe. He posted,
“If #Bitcoin can’t maintain above $112K, we’ll in all probability face a really ugly correction throughout the board.”
The value has already dropped from its latest peak close to $124,500 and has moved by way of a number of earlier assist ranges, which can now act as resistance.

Brief-term exercise exhibits low quantity in comparison with the latest excessive, with Bitcoin buying and selling near a shifting common. A retest zone close to $117,000 might come into play if the value strikes upward, however sellers stay energetic close to resistance.
Illiquid Provide Builds Whereas Liquid Provide Drops
Knowledge from Binance exhibits that Bitcoin’s illiquid provide is at a excessive level, whereas liquid provide is shrinking. This implies extra BTC is being held in wallets that aren’t used for frequent buying and selling. Fewer items obtainable available on the market typically result in stronger worth strikes in both course.
Remarkably, this variation in provide has supported Bitcoin’s rise above $120,000, even with restricted exterior funding. As fewer items can be found for buying and selling, any new demand might drive costs increased, particularly with long-term holders not promoting.

Analyst Arab Chain said, “Whales and establishments are presently adopting a ‘maintain for the lengthy haul’ technique,” however added that any change on this might set off a quick drop.
A couple of analysts think Bitcoin could prime $150,000 in 2025 as a result of rise in illiquid provide. Then again, if massive sellers emerge, the value might drop to $90,000 to $100,000 vary. Relying on how liquidity performs out within the coming weeks, the market can both go up or expertise a steep drop.
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