Bitcoin Price Analysis: Will BTC Crash Below $100K if This Support Breaks?
Bitcoin is consolidating after current volatility, holding across the $110K zone. Both the day by day and 4-hour charts present combined indicators, with momentum slowing however patrons nonetheless attempting to push the worth again greater.
Meanwhile, funding charges present attention-grabbing perception into market sentiment, hinting at leverage positioning amongst merchants.
Technical Analysis
By Shayan
The Daily Chart
On the day by day chart, BTC has damaged down from its ascending channel and is at present testing the $110K stage from beneath, after slumping beneath it final week. The breakdown from the channel and failure to reclaim greater ranges exhibits a lack of momentum after months of regular good points. The RSI stays weak close to 45, reflecting subdued shopping for stress and indecision amongst market contributors.
The 100-day shifting common can be close by, aligning with the $110K zone, making this stage a vital battleground. If patrons fail to reclaim this vary, the subsequent help lies round $104K. On the opposite hand, reclaiming $110K would sign renewed bullish power, doubtlessly opening the door to retest the $124K all-time high.
The 4-Hour Chart
On the 4-hour chart, Bitcoin lately broke out of a descending channel, displaying that short-term promoting stress has eased. It was adopted by a rejection on the $113K stage, sending the worth again towards the $110K–$109K help band. The RSI is hovering barely above 50, suggesting a impartial bias with room for both continuation greater or renewed weak point.
As lengthy because the $110K stage holds, bulls might try one other push towards the $113K and $117K highs. However, a decisive drop beneath $110K would doubtless invite sellers again in, with the $104K truthful worth hole as the subsequent logical goal.
Sentiment Analysis
Funding Rates
Funding charges throughout exchanges present that leverage stays tilted constructive, although not on the excessive highs seen throughout earlier peaks. This means that whereas lengthy merchants are nonetheless dominant, the market isn’t but in a euphoric or overheated section. Sustained constructive funding means bulls proceed to pay shorts, which may add stress if the worth consolidates for too lengthy.
Interestingly, regardless of Bitcoin’s sturdy run earlier this yr, funding charges have calmed considerably in comparison with the spikes seen in early 2024 and 2025. This signifies that speculative momentum has cooled, and accumulation could also be underway fairly than aggressive chasing. If funding charges stay average, it may present a more healthy basis for the subsequent impulsive transfer.
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