3 Reasons Why Ethereum Price Could Peak in Its Weakest Month
September has traditionally been the weakest month for Ethereum, with median returns displaying losses of greater than 12%. This 12 months’s September began no in a different way. ETF outflows and broader market hesitation stored the Ethereum value beneath strain in the opening week.
However, September 2025 may not observe historical past so neatly. Three bullish indicators have emerged that would flip the script and push the Ethereum value towards new highs, in its traditionally weakest month. Well, that will be such an anti-climax.
Whales Buy Big as Weak Hands Exit
At press time, Ethereum trades close to $4,406. Just this week, ETH touched lows of $4,261 however rapidly regained floor.
Over the previous 24 hours, the ETH price has remained principally flat, displaying no indicators of a potential breakout on paper. Yet, whales have aggressively amassed. The provide held by whale wallets outdoors exchanges elevated from 95.72 million ETH to 99.41 million ETH in beneath a day. That represents a web pickup of 3.69 million ETH, valued at over $16 billion at present costs.
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Such massive inflows from whales recommend confidence. While retail merchants could hesitate, whales seem like positioning for a rally.
But whale buys can meet resistance if retail, particularly the short-term holders, promote. Well, that appears to have been taken care of, too. Their shopping for coincides with weak arms exiting.
The short-term holder Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) metric — which signifies the revenue or lack of short-term holders — has decreased to 0.21, the second-lowest degree in a month. Historically, native lows in this metric typically sign rebound factors as hints at weak arms exiting and others sitting on smaller income.
For instance, on August 19, when NUPL was close to 0.22, the Ethereum price was $4,077. In the next classes, ETH rallied almost 20% to $4,829.
This mixture of whales shopping for and weaker holders promoting paints a bullish image. Even a ten% transfer (not 20%) from present ranges might deliver ETH near testing new highs.
Ethereum Price Levels and RSI Divergence Validate Bullishness
The third motive for the all-time high-inclined bullishness comes from the charts themselves. Ethereum’s each day value chart exhibits a hidden bullish divergence. While ETH made a better low, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) — which measures shopping for and promoting momentum — made a decrease low.
This divergence is necessary as a result of it normally indicators development continuation. It exhibits that sellers are working out of steam even because the Ethereum value holds agency. RSI divergences, when mixed with whale accumulation, strengthen the upside case additional.
For the Ethereum price, the important thing resistance to observe is $4,672 as soon as it breaks $4,496. A clear break above this degree opens the trail to $4,958, and probably larger into value discovery.
On the draw back, invalidation comes if ETH breaks under $4,210, which might weaken the bullish case.
The publish 3 Reasons Why Ethereum Price Could Peak in Its Weakest Month appeared first on BeInCrypto.
