Bitcoin Exchange Supply Ratio Declines After Fed Cut, Setting Stage For $120,000 Test

Earlier this week, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) minimize rates of interest by 25 foundation factors, offering the much-required impetus to the financial system after a cycle of elevating rates of interest to maintain inflation beneath examine. A minimize in rates of interest is prone to profit risk-on belongings, together with Bitcoin (BTC).

Fed Cuts Interest Rate, Bitcoin Supply Ratio Falls

According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake publish by contributor Arab Chain, the newest information from Binance exhibits that the rate of interest minimize has rekindled buyers’ curiosity in BTC. Notably, the change provide ratio has declined to 0.0291, hinting that buyers are selecting to withdraw their BTC from exchanges and maintain it for the long-term as an alternative of promoting it.

To help their evaluation, Arab Chain shared the next chart, which exhibits a tumbling change provide ratio whereas the BTC value continues to shoot up. The analyst famous that the rate of interest minimize has elevated danger urge for food and improved liquidity out there.

This conduct exhibits that the Fed’s financial coverage will stay dovish for the close to time period, which may mitigate promoting stress on BTC in the interim. Low change provide is creating relative shopping for stress, as Bitcoin’s stability above $115,000 additional helps this pattern.

The analyst remarked that if BTC outflows from crypto exchanges proceed on the present tempo, then the digital asset could goal the $120,000 resistance degree. However, liquidity should proceed to movement into digital belongings, pushed by the Fed’s choice. Arab Chain added:

The continued decline within the Exchange Supply Ratio for Bitcoin, coupled with a rising value, reinforces the bullish state of affairs, particularly if conventional markets stabilize after the Fed’s choice. Conversely, if the Exchange Supply Ratio turns upward once more (if Bitcoin reenters exchanges), it may sign that buyers are making ready to take earnings at ranges close to 118K–120K.

Meanwhile, crypto analyst Titan of Crypto had related ideas. In an X publish, the analyst shared the next chart, saying that BTC is at the moment caught beneath the bearish truthful worth hole. A every day shut above this hole – highlighted in purple – may pave the way in which for a brand new high for BTC.

Is BTC Facing A Supply Crunch?

A declining change provide ratio additional means that BTC could also be approaching a bullish ‘provide crunch’ that might result in significant value appreciation for the digital asset within the close to time period.

Recently, the Bitcoin Scarcity Index recorded its first spike since June 2025, indicating potential upward value stress on BTC. Meanwhile, BTC outflows from Binance proceed at a speedy tempo, additional lowering the digital asset’s energetic circulating provide.

That stated, some concerns nonetheless linger, particularly as a result of lack of participation of whales in latest BTC value motion. At press time, BTC trades at $116,374, down 1.3% previously 24 hours.