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Polymarket Lures Bettors With Highest 4% Yield Amid Kalshi’s Weekly Volume Surge

Polymarket has launched a brand new incentive for prediction market contributors, providing a 4% annualized yield on sure long-term positions. The reward, which is paid out day by day, is designed to maintain long-term pricing correct and is presently funded via the Polymarket Treasury.

According to the exchange, the yield applies to positions in a set of political and geopolitical markets, together with the 2028 U.S. presidential race, the stability of energy within the 2026 midterms, and management outcomes in international locations resembling Russia, China, Turkey, Israel, and Ukraine.

Positions are valued primarily based on the variety of “Yes” and “No” shares held and the latest mid-price, with rewards distributed after an hourly random sampling of accounts. The 4% fee is variable and could also be adjusted or capped on the firm’s discretion.

Prediction Market Rivalry Heats Up as Kalshi Tops Polymarket by Volumes

While Polymarket’s new holding rewards search to draw long-term bettors, competitor Kalshi has been dominating when it comes to buying and selling exercise. For three consecutive weeks, Kalshi has posted increased volumes than Polymarket, recording $728 million in trades final week.

That determine is almost 60% increased than Polymarket’s quantity and near Kalshi’s report $749 million through the run-up to the 2024 U.S. presidential election.

Source: Dune Analytics

Data from Dune Analytics shows that between September 11 and 17, Kalshi captured 62% of complete on-chain prediction market quantity, with greater than $500 million in trades and $189 million in open curiosity.

Polymarket, by comparability, registered $430 million in buying and selling quantity and $164 million in open curiosity over the identical interval.

Analysts be aware that Polymarket’s increased open curiosity relative to quantity displays longer-term positions, whereas Kalshi’s decrease ratio factors to quicker turnover and extra energetic buying and selling.

The competitors between the 2 platforms exhibits diverging methods. Kalshi, working as a CFTC-authorized change, has capitalized on regulated event-based contract buying and selling within the U.S.

Polymarket, in the meantime, has traditionally catered to worldwide customers via blockchain-based markets however is increasing within the U.S. following its acquisition of the regulated exchange QCX. The firm additionally lately launched earnings-based prediction markets in partnership with Stocktwits.

Despite the variations in construction and oversight, each platforms proceed to develop, with Kalshi solidifying its lead in weekly quantity and Polymarket specializing in person retention via increased yields and long-term markets.

CFTC Clears Polymarket for U.S. Return as Kalshi Faces State Lawsuit

The prediction market house is coming into a brand new part as regulators within the U.S. take divergent approaches to 2 of its greatest gamers.

On September 3, the CFTC cleared Polymarket to re-enter the U.S. via a no-action letter masking occasion contracts.

The transfer marks Polymarket’s official return after a 2022 settlement pressured it to dam American customers.

CEO Shayne Coplan hailed the clearance as “a inexperienced mild” for U.S. operations, noting that it offers the corporate house to scale legally. The breakthrough comes as Polymarket pursues a valuation of up to $10 billion, greater than triple its final identified $1 billion valuation in June.

The agency rose to prominence after its markets precisely predicted Donald Trump’s 2024 victory, drawing main institutional backing and person progress.

While Polymarket is regaining floor, rival Kalshi is dealing with authorized hurdles. On September 13, Massachusetts Attorney General Andrea Joy Campbell filed a civil lawsuit accusing Kalshi of operating unlicensed sports activities betting disguised as “occasion contracts.”

The go well with alleges that between January and June 2025, 70–75% of Kalshi’s $1 billion in wagers got here from sports activities markets, rivaling licensed operators like DraftKings. Regulators say the platform allowed underage betting and lacked safeguards required by state regulation.

As Polymarket strikes ahead with regulatory cowl, Kalshi’s future might hinge on a rising conflict between state playing legal guidelines and federal commodities oversight.

The publish Polymarket Lures Bettors With Highest 4% Yield Amid Kalshi’s Weekly Volume Surge appeared first on Cryptonews.

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