Will Markets Move Even Higher When $3.3B Bitcoin Options Expire
Around 28,000 Bitcoin choices contracts will expire on Friday, October 3, and so they have a notional worth of roughly $3.37 billion.
This expiry occasion is again to regular following final week’s epic finish of third quarter occasion, so there may be unlikely to be any impression on spot markets, which have gained this week.
US labor market information stays weak, which places extra strain on the Federal Reserve to scale back charges once more this month, a bonus for risk-on belongings similar to crypto.
Bitcoin Options Expiry
This week’s batch of Bitcoin choices contracts has a put/name ratio of 1.1, that means that there are barely extra brief contracts expiring than longs, because the bulls regain composure. Max ache is round $115,000, according to Coinglass.
Open curiosity (OI), or the worth or variety of Bitcoin choices contracts but to run out, is highest at $120,000, which has reached $2.2 billion at this strike value on Deribit. There can be round $1.9 billion OI at $140,000, however $100,000 is a well-liked strike value for brief sellers with $1.6 billion in OI.
Total BTC choices OI throughout all exchanges is round $49 billion, which has fallen over the previous week. Additionally, complete Bitcoin futures OI at the moment stands at $86.5 billion, which continues to be near document highs, based on Coinglass.
Meanwhile, ETF knowledgeable Eric Balchunas noticed that BlackRock’s IBIT has surpassed Coinbase’s Derbit platform as the biggest venue for Bitcoin choices.
$IBIT has surpassed Coinbase’s Derbit platform as the biggest venue for bitcoin choices with $38b in open curiosity. I advised y’all ETFs are not any joke.. Fat crypto margins in hassle. Nice discover by @sidharth_shukla pic.twitter.com/LUcnpW5g4I
— Eric Balchunas (@EricBalchunas) October 2, 2025
Earlier this week, crypto derivatives supplier Greeks Live mentioned the group was “experiencing frustration with the present market circumstances, describing it as excessive uneven value motion that’s tough to commerce profitably.” However, this was earlier than the present rally.
In addition to right now’s tranche of Bitcoin choices, round 216,000 Ethereum contracts are additionally expiring, with a notional worth of $987 million, most ache at $4,200, and a put/name ratio of 0.93. Total ETH choices OI throughout all exchanges is round $13.5 billion, experiences Coinglass. This brings Friday’s mixed crypto choices expiry notional worth to round $4.3 billion.
Spot Market Outlook
Crypto markets are ending the week within the inexperienced with complete capitalization up 1.4% to close document highs of $4.23 trillion. Markets have had a stable week, gaining greater than 10% because the similar time final Friday.
Bitcoin was nonetheless main the cost, topping $121,000 very briefly in late buying and selling on Thursday earlier than retreating to $120,000 throughout Friday morning buying and selling in Asia. The asset has made a stable 10% acquire over the previous week.
Ethereum was additionally making progress, notching an intraday high simply over $4,500 throughout Asian buying and selling. ETH is now up 14% because the similar time final week. Meanwhile, BNB was at an all-time high of just under $1,100 on the time of writing.
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