No Gains for BTC in October? This AI Predicts Rangebound Price Action Between $108K and $123K
On October 5, 2025, Bitcoin hit a brand new all-time high of just about $126,000, which gave the market a lift of hope.
Despite this, the newest AI-powered prediction says {that a} sustained breakout is unlikely this month. Instead, the world’s largest cryptocurrency is more likely to keep caught in an outlined buying and selling hall.
AI Model Points to Prolonged Range-Bound Trading
The projection, launched by CryptoQuant analyst CryptoOnchain, used an NBeats Ensemble deep studying mannequin educated on 379 on-chain options to undertaking Bitcoin’s October worth path.
It exhibits that BTC will extend its consolidation between $108,000 and $123,000, however importantly, expects worth exercise to cluster in the higher half of that vary. The analyst argued that this displays regular shopping for curiosity even because the market pauses after a collection of record-setting strikes.
“The most possible state of affairs for October 2025 is the continuation of Bitcoin’s impartial, range-bound motion,” CryptoOnchain concluded. “Traders ought to intently monitor the help degree at 108,000 and the resistance at 123,000, as a decisive break of both degree may outline the subsequent mid-term directional transfer.”
The prediction follows Bitcoin’s weekend run to a brand new all-time high of $125,559 per CoinMarketCap, briefly pushing its market capitalization to $2.5 trillion, simply behind silver’s $2.7 trillion worth. The advance erased weeks of sideways buying and selling that outlined September, when the OG crypto repeatedly examined help close to $109,000 earlier than recovering in early October.
Nonetheless, some merchants stay cut up. Market commentator Daan Crypto Trades famous in an X submit on Monday that BTC’s newest push resembled a “basic weekend squeeze and retrace,” pointing to a CME futures hole at $110,000.
Meanwhile, a extra aggressive camp, together with pseudonymous dealer Mr. Wall Street, has projected a possible rally to the $160,000 to $170,000 vary inside the subsequent two months.
Underlying Strength and Historical Parallels
Bitcoin’s present place is predicated on sturdy on-chain fundamentals. A current CryptoQuant report confirmed that spot demand ranges have been rising, with a month-to-month fee of over 62,000 BTC since July. This a lot accumulation occurred earlier than rallies in 2020, 2021, and 2024.
Also, giant traders are adding a median of 331,000 BTC to their holdings yearly, and institutional flows by the U.S. ETFs proceed so as to add depth to the market. According to observers, the important thing degree to control is the on-chain realized worth at $116,000; shifting decisively above it may flip the market’s Bull-Bear indicator into an prolonged bullish section.
From a worth perspective, Bitcoin is down 1.1% in the final 24 hours, buying and selling in a $122,538 to $125,165 vary. Over the previous week, the asset has gained 10.6%, climbing from lows close to $111,600, whereas its 30-day advance stands at 11.6%. Across the final 12 months, its worth has practically doubled, with CoinGecko knowledge displaying it’s up 99.9%.
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