Bitcoin Price Analysis: Is BTC Out of the Woods Completely After Recent Meltdown?
Bitcoin’s current decline has transitioned right into a consolidation section, with the value oscillating between two well-defined ranges. The broader construction means that the market is cooling after the sharp post-rally correction, whereas the current pullback to the 100-day shifting common has offered short-term issues.
BTC Price Technical Analysis
By Shayan
The Daily Chart
On the every day timeframe, BTC has pulled again to retest the 100-day shifting common, coinciding with the $116K zone, the place the value has briefly stabilized after final week’s breakdown. This space aligns with the midpoint of the native construction and sits above the $107K–$109K demand zone, which stays a vital defensive area.
The rejection from the $124K–$125K provide space led to a clear liquidity sweep above the prior highs, adopted by a pointy retracement. While the correction was steep, the construction has but to completely break down, the $108K vary continues to behave as static help, whereas the 200-day MA round $107K supplies extra confluence beneath.
For now, Bitcoin seems to be capped between two MAs, anticipated to consolidate. Sustained acceptance above the 100-day MA might sign stabilization and set the stage for a gradual restoration, however shedding this stage might open the door for deeper assessments towards the $104K–$102K macro help.
The 4-Hour Chart
On the 4-hour chart, Bitcoin continues to maneuver inside an outlined horizontal vary, trapped between the mid-range resistance at $116K and the native demand zone at $109K. The current rejection from $116K marks the higher boundary of this consolidation, whereas the decrease vary aligns with the similar space that beforehand served as breakout help throughout the final upward impulse.
The repeated rebounds from the $109K–$110K zone counsel the presence of responsive patrons, although momentum stays muted. A confirmed 4-hour shut above $116K might invite a short-term breakout towards $120K, whereas a breakdown beneath $108K would doubtless shift sentiment bearish once more, focusing on the $102K–$104K liquidity zone.
Until both boundary offers approach, Bitcoin is more likely to stay range-bound, with short-term merchants capitalizing on intraday volatility whereas increased timeframes await affirmation of development course.
On-chain Analysis
By Shayan
The 3-day Binance liquidation heatmap signifies {that a} dense liquidity pocket has developed between $115K and $118K, instantly above the present market value. This space corresponds to resting brief liquidations, suggesting that if Bitcoin reclaims the mid-range, a fast transfer to soak up this liquidity might comply with.
Below present ranges, the $108K–$110K vary reveals comparatively weaker liquidation density, that means draw back liquidity has already been cleared throughout final week’s drop. This dynamic reinforces the concept that value might proceed oscillating inside the present consolidation till one of these liquidity clusters is decisively tapped.
In abstract, the heatmap confirms that short-term volatility will doubtless stay centered round the $109K–$116K hall, with a possible liquidity-driven breakout on the horizon as soon as one facet of the vary is cleared.
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