Bitcoin Price Prediction: October Is Still Bullish – Fed Rate Cut Could Trigger a Surprise BTC Comeback
The October pattern Bitcoin may quickly reignite as merchants wager on a Federal Reserve fee reduce, with CME information exhibiting a 96.7% likelihood of easing later this month. Historically, October has been certainly one of BTC’s strongest months, averaging 20% positive factors since 2019.
With establishments now holding over $117 billion in BTC, optimism is constructing for a potential late-month breakout above $110,000.
Fed Rate Cut Bets Rise to 96.7% Ahead of October Meeting
Bitcoin’s historic October power could also be gearing up for one more check as merchants brace for a potential Federal Reserve fee reduce later this month.
According to the most recent CME FedWatch data, markets are pricing in a 96.7% chance of a 25-basis-point discount within the federal funds fee, from 4.00–4.25% to the three.75–4.00% vary. Only 3.3% of merchants anticipate no change.

A reduce would mark the Fed’s first easing transfer in over a yr, signaling that policymakers could also be shifting towards stimulating progress amid softening financial indicators. Lower borrowing prices usually result in larger liquidity and a stronger risk-on urge for food, favoring belongings like BTC.
Since 2019, October has traditionally delivered a 20% common acquire and 15% median return for BTC, setting the stage for what may very well be a late-month rebound.
Corporate Bitcoin Holdings Surge Past $117B
Institutional sentiment can be turning extra constructive. According to Bitwise’s Q3 2025 Corporate Bitcoin Adoption Report, complete BTC held by public corporations reached 1.02 million BTC, valued at $117 billion, a 28% quarterly improve.
Nearly 48 new corporations added Bitcoin to their stability sheets in Q3, bringing the overall variety of company holders to 172, up 38.7% from the earlier quarter.
Leading the cost, Strategy now holds 640,031 BTC, adopted by MARA Holdings (52,850 BTC), XXI (43,514 BTC), Metaplanet (30,823 BTC), and Bitcoin Standard Treasury Company (30,021 BTC). The largest single buy got here from Strategy, which added 40,000 BTC in Q3 alone.
This wave of accumulation underscores that firms are more and more treating Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset, not simply a speculative play. The ongoing Fed pivot narrative, mixed with increasing institutional adoption, may amplify Bitcoin’s restoration momentum into November.
If coverage easing materializes as anticipated, Bitcoin might discover its footing above $110,000, with a potential breakout towards $120,000 in This fall as liquidity returns and company demand accelerates.
Bitcoin Builds Momentum Above Key $109K Support
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is regular close to $111,300, rebounding from the $109,600 triple-bottom zone, a key help that’s repeatedly attracted patrons since early October. The construction suggests a potential reversal, with larger lows forming a short-term base for restoration.
On the 1-hour chart, BTC stays capped by a descending trendline from $122,000, with resistance close to $112,700–$113,000, the place the 20-EMA is making an attempt to cross above the 50-EMA. A confirmed breakout may drive value towards $114,600, $116,100, and probably $117,600, aligning with key Fibonacci ranges.
The RSI close to 48 indicators early bullish divergence, hinting that draw back stress could also be fading.

Candlestick patterns, notably latest Doji formations, present market hesitation earlier than potential reversal. A sustained transfer above $112,700 would affirm bullish momentum, whereas a break beneath $109,600 might expose $107,300 as the following help.
If this reversal holds, Bitcoin may re-enter a broader bullish channel, paving the way in which for a push towards $117,600 and renewed confidence forward of the following market uptrend.
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