Why November Might Be A Game-Changer For The Ethereum Price

Unlike Bitcoin, the Ethereum price has struggled to hold up, and even after the crypto market restoration, the value stays beneath $4,000, which is a serious psychological degree. Given this, evidently the cryptocurrency is about to shut the month of October within the crimson, dropping nearly 5% of its worth already this month. However, with the month of November shortly rolling by, the Ethereum value is perhaps in for a bounce, as November has traditionally been inexperienced for the market.

November Could Hold The Key For Ethereum Price

Looking on the historic value data for Ethereum on the CryptoRank web site, there appears to be a steadiness between years when the month was crimson and years when it was inexperienced. In a decade, there have been 5 years the place the Ethereum price has seen gains in November and 5 years the place there have been losses.

However, there appears to be a reasonably bullish sample: the years when the month was inexperienced noticed double-digit positive aspects, ultimately leading to larger positive aspects than losses. As a consequence, the common return for the month is 6.93%, and the median return, whereas low, additionally stays optimistic at 1.42%.

Given the truth that there is no such thing as a clear development to pinpoint the place the value is headed, the bears and the bulls look to have equal chances. But if it does become within the inexperienced, it’s possible that the Ethereum value will witness a double-digit surge. Such a transfer would assist it clear the $4,000 resistance with momentum.

This fall Still Has Potential

Quarterly returns for the Ethereum value haven’t precisely been the most effective within the final quarter of the 12 months, however that has not modified the truth that the altcoin tends to perform quite well general. There can be the development of This fall ending within the inexperienced if the earlier Q2 and Q3 have been within the inexperienced, which is the case proper now.

In Q2 of 2025, the Ethereum value ended with a median optimistic return of 36.5% and in Q3, it adopted with a 66.7% return, the very best to this point. With October trending low, there may be already a 4.83% decline this 12 months, however with greater than 2 months to go, there is still time for things to change.

Only one 12 months in historical past has the Ethereum value closed This fall within the crimson after Q2 and Q3 ended within the inexperienced, and that was 9 years in the past in 2016. Since then, the development has all the time seen the ETH value persevering with the rally. This was the case again in 2017, after which once more in 2020 and 2021.

Since then, this development has not returned, and 2025 is the primary time in 4 years that the Ethereum value has ended each Q2 and Q3 within the inexperienced. If the historical performance holds, the Ethereum value may see a median of a 50% improve, and even double, prefer it did again in 2017 and 2020, earlier than the 12 months is over.