Bitcoin Price Analysis: What’s Next for BTC After Slipping Below $100K?
Bitcoin’s current shake-off has purged extreme leverage and pushed the worth into a serious accumulation zone round $100K–$102K.
Although momentum stays weak within the brief time period, on-chain and order circulation information recommend that good cash might be re-entering, capitalizing on retail worry and compelled liquidations.
Technical Analysis
By Shayan
The Daily Chart
On the each day timeframe, BTC has dropped beneath each the 100-day and 200-day MAs, confirming a short-term breakdown from its earlier equilibrium vary. The rejection from the $114K resistance zone and the following cascade towards $101K mark probably the most aggressive correction since August.
Currently, the asset is sitting atop the $100K–$102K institutional demand block, a zone that traditionally acts as a serious pivot level. This stage additionally aligns with earlier higher-timeframe liquidity resting beneath the vary lows, an space the place good cash usually absorbs retail capitulation orders.
If BTC types a consolidation base right here and reclaims the $106K–$108K construction, it might affirm that the current drop was a liquidity sweep, paving the best way for a rebound towards $114K–$116K. Conversely, failure to carry above $100K would expose the $93K–$95K macro demand zone, which stays the subsequent key help for potential accumulation.
The 4-Hour Chart
The 4-hour chart reveals the mechanics of the current breakdown. After forming an ascending construction all through late October, Bitcoin rejected from the higher trendline close to $116K and broke beneath the rising wedge help, triggering a quick liquidation cascade.
The selloff accelerated after violating the $108K–$109K short-term demand zone, flushing leveraged lengthy positions and trapping late consumers.
Currently, the market is stabilizing simply above the $100K demand space, the place indicators of absorption are rising. If value can set up a better low on this timeframe, it might recommend that the correction has reached its exhaustion level and that giant gamers are quietly accumulating amid the panic.
However, a clear retest of $106K as resistance would should be reclaimed earlier than confirming a sustainable restoration.
On-Chain Analysis
By Shayan
The Bitcoin Spot Average Order Size metric supplies precious perception into present market habits. Following the key sell-off earlier in 2025, the chart shows a definite sequence: a surge in whale-sized orders, adopted by an enlargement in smaller retail orders (pink clusters), a sample that usually displays retail capitulation. This shift usually marks the purpose the place institutional and high-net-worth individuals start accumulating positions, capitalizing on emotional promoting to enter the market at discounted costs.
Historically, phases characterised by retail capitulation adopted by rising whale order exercise have preceded the ultimate impulsive rally of a broader bullish cycle. The identical construction is now re-emerging. Following the current market plunge, large-order exercise (inexperienced clusters) has begun to reappear close to the $100K area, signaling renewed engagement from deep-pocketed individuals.
While affirmation remains to be required, this habits aligns with what might be the “remaining shakeout” section earlier than a brand new wave of institutional accumulation units the stage for the subsequent bullish enlargement.
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