Pundit Just Highlighted A $48 Billion Error That’s Haunting Bitcoin, Here’s What It Is

Shanaka Anslem Perera, a crypto pundit and ideologist, has simply unveiled a staggering monetary miscalculation that might shake the Bitcoin (BTC) market. Perera has dissected the big Bitcoin holdings of enterprise intelligence firm, Strategy Inc., exposing structural flaws within the agency’s method to corporate crypto accumulation. The pundit’s report particulars how a monetary structure designed to safe tons of of hundreds of BTC could also be mathematically and operationally unsustainable, posing a danger to each Strategy and the market. 

Strategy’s $48 Billion Bitcoin Error

Perera’s report, published on Monday, November 24, highlights Strategy’s disclosure that it at present holds 649,870 Bitcoin, bought at a median of $74,433 per coin, totaling $48.4 billion. This large holding represents about 3.26% of BTC’s most provide. The crypto pundit noted that the buildup was financed via advanced capital market devices, together with $43.1 billion raised by way of convertible debt with near-zero curiosity, high-yield perpetual most popular securities, and fairness choices issued at market premiums. 

According to Perera, on paper, the mechanics behind Strategy’s Bitcoin accumulation have been flawless. However, in apply, the construction is now approaching levels of unsustainability that might break the crypto market. The analyst disclosed that Strategy’s accounting reveals a regarding actuality for its future. He notes that the corporate has solely $54 million in money in opposition to $700 million in annual preferred dividends

Perera likens Strategy’s construction to a Ponzi Scheme, noting that the software program enterprise reportedly generates destructive money movement, forcing it to depend on steady capital raises to service current debt. He mentioned that the agency’s enterprise mannequin labored beforehand as a result of fairness trades have been at a premium to web asset worth, enabling recursive Bitcoin accumulation. However, that premium fell to match its worth in November 2025, stopping the cycle and placing the corporate vulnerable to dilution. 

Furthermore, Perera revealed that preferred stocks made Strategy’s state of affairs a lot worse. According to his report, dividend charges rose beforehand from 9% to 10.5% to draw buyers as share prices fell. However, he warns that any additional declines might force the company to sell its Bitcoin holdings to pay dividends, which works in opposition to the technique behind its BTC wager. 

Moreover, upcoming occasions just like the MSCI index in January 2026 might power Strategy to promote billions of Bitcoin, probably changing into a nightmare for the crypto market. Perera highlighted that previous occasions, such because the October 10 crash, when $19 billion in positions were wiped out, spotlight the danger of large-scale company Bitcoin holding. 

Large-Scale BTC Sales Could Threaten Market Stability

Perera has additionally challenged Strategy’s latest declare of 71 years of dividend coverage, which the corporate calculated by dividing its complete Bitcoin holdings by annual dividend obligations. The crypto analyst disclosed that these claims ignore market realities, tax implications, and the liquidity limits of sovereign-scale BTC gross sales. 

He identified that Strategy assumes they will promote $1 billion of Bitcoin yearly with out affecting the value. However, the October 10 crypto crash proved that this assumption is fake, because the market is unable to soak up large-scale promoting in periods of stress. 

Given the dangerous state of affairs, Perera predicts that by March 2026, the market will ship a verdict. Strategy could both must restructure and shrink to outlive, or the company Bitcoin treasury model might collapse as a failed experiment. During this era, Strategy could sell a portion of its Bitcoin, which might put stress on the BTC worth.

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