Opinion Prediction Market Thwarts Kalshi and Polymarket With $1.5 Billion Weekly Volume
Opinion.Trade has posted one of many strongest launches in prediction market historical past, seizing a 40.4% weekly market share and $1.5 billion in quantity simply weeks after going reside on BNB Chain.
The platform’s fast ascent now positions it as a reputable third main participant alongside Polymarket and Kalshi.
Opinion Captures 40% of Prediction Market Share With $1.5 Billion Weekly Volume
According to Messari researcher 0xWeiler, Opinion.Trade averaged $132.5 million in each day notional quantity between October 24 and November 17.
With this, it surpassed $3.1 billion in cumulative buying and selling, marking the strongest launch since April 2024. During the identical interval, open curiosity hit $60.9 million, already rating third industry-wide behind Kalshi ($302.1 million) and Polymarket ($250.5 million).
The breakthrough occurred between November 11 and 17, when Opinion led your entire sector with $1.5 billion in weekly notional quantity, capturing 40.4% of all buying and selling.
For context, Kalshi held 32.9%, and Polymarket followed with 26.6%, marking solely the third time any platform other than these two dominated a seven-day span.
User exercise mirrored the surge. Opinion averaged 25,300 each day transactions and registered greater than 62,400 distinctive customers in its first three weeks.
Transaction peaks aligned with main crypto-native markets, notably these tied to Monad’s TGE date, launch FDV, and BNB pricing, with Opinion persistently outperforming opponents.
Why Opinion Captured Market Share So Quickly
A mix of structural and strategic benefits drove Opinion’s breakout. The undertaking is backed by YZi Labs (formerly Binance Labs), a significant sign of credibility given the agency’s $10 billion portfolio.
Opinion additionally raised a $5 million seed spherical in March 2025, led by YZi Labs and Animoca Ventures.
However, the clearest development engine is its OPN Points program, which rewards customers for offering liquidity, putting high-quality trades, and sustaining open positions.
With eligibility beginning at simply $200 in weekly buying and selling quantity, participation is accessible and closely incentivized, a key consider Opinion’s early dominance earlier than token issuance.
Opinion’s AI-driven structure additionally distinguishes it from rivals. Its four-layer stack consists of:
- Opinion.Trade (execution layer)
- Opinion AI (oracle and market-creation engine)
- Metapool (a deliberate liquidity layer to merge fragmented occasion markets)
- Opinion Protocol (a forthcoming cross-market token commonplace)
Opinion AI robotically converts person prompts into structured prediction contracts and proposes market resolutions utilizing a multi-model jury that features OpenAI, Claude, and Gemini.
Human reviewers confirm outcomes, using a hybrid strategy that ensures accuracy whereas sustaining velocity.
BNB Chain Infrastructure Accelerates Growth
BNB Chain’s high throughput and low fees performed an important function in sustaining Opinion’s early exercise.
During its launch window, the chain processed greater than 71,000 Opinion transactions on peak days with out noticeable degradation. This is an important requirement for prediction markets, the place well timed order execution defines the person expertise.
However, the important thing query is sturdiness. Incentive-fueled development can fade, which is probably going why Opinion’s roadmap, together with Metapool, cross-chain deployment, and the Opinion Protocol, serves as an indicator of ambitions past short-term traction.
The platform is now positioned to problem prediction-market incumbents throughout a interval of document sector growth, and its subsequent milestone might be proving it may possibly convert early adopters into long-term, natural merchants.
The submit Opinion Prediction Market Thwarts Kalshi and Polymarket With $1.5 Billion Weekly Volume appeared first on BeInCrypto.
