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[LIVE] Bitcoin Price Alert: September and October JOLTS Data Drops Today — Will Job Openings Shift Fed Rate Decision?

September and October JOLTS Data - Fed Rate Cut Odds

The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases each September and October JOLTS job openings knowledge at 10:00 AM ET immediately, the ultimate main employment report earlier than the Federal Reserve’s charge determination tomorrow.

Bitcoin is buying and selling round $92,000 as markets brace for the delayed knowledge; each stories had been postponed because of the government shutdown and are dropping concurrently simply hours earlier than the Fed enters its December 9-10 FOMC assembly.

The final JOLTS report coated August and confirmed job openings holding regular, however merchants are watching intently for any indicators of a cooling labor market that would justify the Fed’s anticipated 25 basis-point charge lower.

Current market odds sit at 89% for a December lower, however immediately’s double knowledge dump may shift these chances if openings present surprising weak spot or energy.

September and October JOLTS Data - Fed Rate Cut Odds
Source: CME FedWatch Tool

Job openings are a important main indicator for the Fed as a result of they sign labor demand earlier than it reveals up in hiring or unemployment knowledge.

After final Thursday’s shockingly robust jobless claims print (191K vs 219K anticipated—lowest since 2022), Fed Chair Powell faces conflicting indicators. Robust preliminary claims counsel no labor market misery, but when JOLTS openings have declined sharply over September and October, it could assist the case for preemptive easing.

The Fed has already ended quantitative tightening as of December 1, and September PCE knowledge confirmed core inflation bettering to 2.8% from 2.9%, making a dovish backdrop regardless of latest employment energy.

Markets are primarily getting two months of information in a single launch, which may produce volatility if the pattern reveals clear acceleration or deceleration.

Bitcoin wants to carry assist at $90,000-$92,000 heading into tomorrow’s 2:00 PM ET Fed determination and Powell’s 2:30 PM press convention. Resistance stays at $90,000, and the descending trendline that’s capped rallies since mid-November.

If JOLTS knowledge reveals job openings collapsing, it strengthens the speed lower case and may present the catalyst Bitcoin wants to interrupt above $98K.

Conversely, if openings stay elevated, it reinforces the “no touchdown” situation the place the economic system stays robust, and the Fed pauses easing, probably sending Bitcoin again towards the $88,000-$90,000 assist zone that marked November’s low.

Double JOLTS Report: Final Employment Signal Before Fed Decision

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