Solana Price Prediction: What To Expect From SOL In January 2026

The Solana worth is down about 12% over the previous 30 days. As 2026 approaches, the chart exhibits a mixture of bullish and bearish alerts.

Some indicators recommend a bounce in January, however others point out that stress might persist if momentum fails to materialize.

History Leans Bullish, But ETF Flows And Expert Views Split

January has been a strong month for Solana. The common return sits close to 59%, with median positive factors round 22%. The sample sharpens when December ends crimson.

In 2022, SOL fell 29.6% in December, and in January 2023, SOL rallied 140%. In December 2024, SOL dropped 20.5%, and in January 2025, it rose 22.3%. This month is down 6.94% thus far, which statistically leans towards a rebound.

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ETF knowledge backs that concept. Since launch, Solana spot ETFs haven’t posted a single week of internet outflows. The most up-to-date week added $13.14 million (incomplete week nonetheless), bringing cumulative inflows to $755.77 million.

That regular demand alerts selective confidence in SOL at a time when different majors face withdrawals.

B2BinPay’s analytics crew describes what that circulation sample means for Solana and the broader market, of their dialog with BeInCrypto:

“Investors aren’t rotating wholesale out of Bitcoin and Ethereum into the altcoin market. They prioritize a small group of liquid, well-known tokens the place draw back feels controllable, and positions will be closed shortly if wanted.

That’s why just a few altcoins equivalent to Solana or XRP are seeing inflows, whereas a lot of the market is quiet. Current inflows into Solana shouldn’t be learn as the beginning of the altseason. These strikes are slender and particularly selective,” they stated.

This helps SOL’s ETF inflows, nevertheless it additionally warns to not body the transfer as a broad altseason setup.

Chart Signals Hint At Reversal, But EMAs And Derivatives Show Resistance

On the two-day chart, the SOL price made a decrease low between November 21 and December 17, whereas the RSI (Relative Strength Index, a momentum gauge displaying overbought/oversold power) made the next low. That is a bullish divergence and might point out early development reversal if patrons comply with via.

But a bearish situation sits proper beside it.

On the identical timeframe, the 100-period EMA (Exponential Moving Average, a trend-tracking line that reacts sooner to cost) is on the verge of crossing beneath the 200-period EMA.

If that bearish crossover confirms, draw back stress might proceed into late December or early January earlier than any restoration can stick. Until that crossover is prevented or reversed, the technical image stays cut up.

Derivatives positioning exhibits extra warning. On Hyperliquid, nearly each dealer bracket has internet quick positioning throughout the final seven days.

Top 100 addresses, sensible cash, and Solana whale accounts are all internet quick. Yet, some teams (sensible cash, public figures, and perp winners) are slowly opening longs. That may very well be in anticipation of a bullish January 2026, as highlighted earlier.

This combine leaves the setup balanced. Momentum suggests a reversal may very well be forming. EMAs and derivatives positioning argue for persistence. If Solana needs to construct a January rally, it must flip that spinoff sentiment away from shorts whereas avoiding the EMA cross.

Key Solana Price Levels: $129 Is The Pivot, $116 Is The Fail-Safe

SOL trades close to $124. A two-day shut above $129 would affirm power and open a path towards $150. Clearing $150 might then goal $171 if ETF inflows maintain and RSI momentum continues to construct.

Cost-basis warmth map knowledge explains why $129 issues. One of the strongest provide clusters sits between $123 and $124, and SOL is at present preventing via it.

An in depth above $129 clears that cluster and removes quick overhead resistance. Above that, provide thins till $165 to $167, enhancing the chances of continuation if quantity arrives.

A value-basis warmth map tracks the place giant teams of holders acquired their tokens, which highlights zones the place provide or demand might cluster.

On the draw back, $116 stays the fail-safe. Losing that degree breaks the historic “crimson December, inexperienced January” development and units up continuation of the downtrend. A confirmed bearish EMA crossover, accompanied by a break beneath $116, would reset expectations for the month.

For now, the commerce is outlined by two thresholds. Above $129, bullish momentum permits room to maneuver towards $150 and $171. Below $116, patrons lose management, and January’s normal power might not present up.

The submit Solana Price Prediction: What To Expect From SOL In January 2026 appeared first on BeInCrypto.