Bitmain just slashed mining rig prices, proving the market’s oldest “Bitcoin rule” is officially dead
Bitmain minimize costs on Bitcoin mining rigs on Dec. 23 after miner income per unit of hashrate fell in November.
The reductions, which lengthen to current-generation hydro and immersion merchandise, are touchdown in a cycle by which Bitcoin’s worth power has not translated into the sort of mining-margin growth that beforehand drove {hardware} shortage and fast markups.
$87,157.25
-0.76%
$1.74T
$40.62B
$126,173.18
According to TheMinerMag, a container bundle for the S19 XP+ Hydro (about 19 J/TH) is available in close to $4/TH, with delivery slated to start in January 2026.
The similar report cites inner tariffs exhibiting quotes as little as $3/TH for some S19 Hydro variants and round $7–$8/TH for newer S21 immersion or hydro fashions earlier than coupons.
Bitmain has paired a few of these presents with internet hosting packages, with energy charges cited round 5.5–7.0¢/kWh plus a few 0.3¢ administration price throughout a number of geographies.
| Metric | Recent datapoint |
|---|---|
| Bitmain promo worth (bundle foundation) | ~$4/TH for S19 XP+ Hydro container bundle (Dec. 23 promo), ship from Jan. 2026 |
| Quoted vary in inner lists | As low as ~$3/TH (some S19 Hydro), ~$7–$8/TH (some S21 hydro/immersion), earlier than coupons |
| Hosting fee vary in bundled presents | ~5.5–7.0¢/kWh + ~0.3¢ administration price |
| Hashprice (Nov. 2025 common) | $39.82/PH/day |
| Hashprice (Nov. 22, 2025) | $35.06/PH/day (new low) |
| Network issue (Nov. 2025 month-to-month common) | ~153.33T (+2.7% m/m) |
Compressed hashprice is rewriting miner economics and ASIC demand
The worth motion displays a fundamental constraint: miner demand clears on payback math when hashprice stays compressed.
Luxor’s November 2025 lookback places USD hashprice at a mean of $39.82/PH/day, with a print of $35.06 on Nov. 22.
In the similar month-to-month assessment, Luxor stated transaction charges have been a small share of rewards throughout the interval, limiting aid for operators as community issue averaged about 153.33T.
That mixture adjustments purchaser habits in ways in which blunt “BTC up equals ASICs up.”
Hashprice is successfully income per unit of hashrate, and Luxor frames it as every day revenue per PH earlier than prices.
At $40/PH/day, gross income works out to about $0.040/TH/day as a result of one PH equals 1,000 TH.
A 200 TH/s rig would gross about $8 per day at that stage.
If the machine runs round 19 J/TH, energy draw is roughly 3.8 kW (19 J/TH instances 200 TH/s), or about 91.2 kWh per day.
At $0.06/kWh, a midpoint inside the internet hosting worth band cited by TheMinerMag, vitality price is about $5.47 per day.
That leaves about $2.53 per day earlier than facility charges, repairs, downtime, pool charges, and curtailment.
At a {hardware} price of $4/TH, a 200 TH machine prices about $800, placing a easy payback close to 316 days on that margin.
When purchasers are underwriting near a 12 months of payback earlier than routine working frictions, the clearing worth for rigs turns into tied to IRR thresholds moderately than shortage narratives.
That framing additionally helps clarify why reductions can lengthen to newer merchandise with out instantly triggering the next repricing.
There is additionally a supply-side shift underway
Earlier cycles noticed lengthy lead instances and fragmented distribution amplify shortages, which let authentic gear producers and resellers reprice stock shortly throughout demand spikes.
This cycle resembles a extra industrial market, the place producers handle turnover amid competitors from the secondary market and from a number of product tiers.
TheMinerMag characterised the breadth of Bitmain’s cuts as a response to weak economics and tighter competitors, moderately than a single promotional window.
The hole from the prior mania stays seen in historic comparisons of $/TH pricing.
According to Digital Mining Solutions, {hardware} in the 25–38 J/TH vary traded round $105/TH in November 2021, versus round $12/TH by March 2024, at the same time as Bitcoin printed an all-time high throughout that interval.
The comparability is not an ideal apples-to-apples match throughout generations and kind components, nevertheless it captures the directional change in “hashrate buying energy” that miners face when community hashrate and issue re-rate quicker than price revenue.
Bitmain’s packaging of internet hosting with machines additionally factors to the place shortage has migrated.
Bundling shifts the gross sales pitch from a single capex determination to an end-to-end working proposition: energy procurement, deployment, and operations.
In a market the place environment friendly megawatts are arduous to safe at predictable pricing, energy entry will be the binding constraint.
That makes internet hosting partnerships and containerized deployments a lever to transform price-sensitive consumers.
Capital allocation outdoors pure Bitcoin mining is one other issue shaping marginal demand for ASIC growth.
Public-market narratives have more and more rewarded miners for positioning information facilities towards AI and high-performance compute moderately than maximizing hashrate at any price.
Several miners have pursued or evaluated AI-related information middle methods to diversify income.
Investor consideration round massive AI information middle transactions has additionally buoyed some miner equities, reinforcing incentives to direct incremental capex to infrastructure that may serve a number of income streams.
Forward pricing has bolstered warning on near-term mining economics
Luxor’s November assessment famous USD-denominated ahead hashprice for December 2025 via April 2026 fell by about 16–18% from Nov. 3 to Dec. 1, whereas BTC-denominated forwards moved increased.
That divergence issues for operators that pay bills in {dollars}.
Even with improved BTC phrases, the day-to-day finances constraint is USD money move, and the ahead curve has mirrored continued strain.
Whether ASIC pricing regains its prior-cycle beta now relies upon much less on Bitcoin’s tape and extra on a sustained change in price contribution and web hashprice after issue response.
In the absence of a sturdy price regime that lifts income per TH for months moderately than days, consumers have cause to deal with $/TH as a payback instrument.
That can push OEMs towards decrease entry prices, shorter supply danger, and bundled working assist.
Bitmain’s January 2026 delivery window for its discounted bundles is set to check how a lot of the market will decide to growth at sub-$10/TH pricing beneath a $35–$50/PH/day hashprice band.
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