Only 1 Week Left As XRP RSI Breakout Sets Up $10 Path, Analyst Predicts
XRP is compressing on the weekly chart right into a clearly outlined post-breakout vary, and analyst Maelius (@MaeliusCrypto)argues the subsequent directional clue will come from the RSI, with a breakout “someday in Q1” that he expects to coincide with increased costs and a push towards $10.
Maelius’ chart is a 1W XRP/USD view (Bitstamp) with a 50-week EMA overlaid. The market’s most up-to-date regime shift is evident: a pointy vertical growth carried XRP from a protracted base into a better buying and selling band, adopted by a multi-week consolidation inside a shaded vary.
Is XRP Set To Explode Within 1 Week?
That vary is anchored by two ranges the chart emphasizes. The higher boundary aligns with the prior spike high close to $3.33 (the 2018 peak), whereas the decrease boundary sits simply above $1.60. At the time of the screenshot, XRP is round $2.124 on the weekly shut, putting worth just under the 50-week EMA, essentially the most speedy, high-visibility pivot in Maelius’ framing.
The Elliott labeling casts the present chop as a corrective wave 4 after the impulsive advance. The message is much less “pattern is damaged” and extra “pattern is pausing.” Maelius added that his “conservative depend assumes there’s solely 1W left,” implying a comparatively tight window for the market to resolve the consolidation and transition into wave 5 if momentum confirms.
The broader structure of the chart additionally invitations a (*1*): XRP’s first main run off a base, a protracted mid-cycle breather, after which a second, sharper leg into the last word high. In the comparability inside the chart, XRP rallied roughly 7,400% in about three months in early 2017, consolidated from May via December, then surged once more by roughly 1,500%.
Today’s sequencing is introduced as related in form, if not essentially in magnitude: a robust first leg from roughly November 2024 via January 2025 (roughly +500%), adopted by a year-long consolidation into January 2026. In that learn, the subsequent main leg increased might be approaching, probably shallower than the primary, with wave 5 serving because the “second push” analogue.
The decrease panel is a weekly RSI with a descending trendline capping current peaks. That purple down-sloping line is Maelius’ timing set off: “RSI breaks out someday in Q1. Price goes increased.” The implication is easy. In his framework, momentum wants to interrupt its personal compression earlier than worth can maintain the subsequent growth section.
Crucially, the chart additionally carries a higher-degree label that locations the present wave 4 inside a bigger wave III, quite than portraying the subsequent wave 5 as a terminal, cycle-ending transfer. That aligns along with his response when requested whether or not $10 could be a quarterly “max”: “Sometime in Q1 we must always get a breakout, not essentially a prime. Next wave ought to be towards 10$.”
If the thesis is working, XRP could be anticipated to reclaim the 50-week EMA and reassert acceptance again towards the vary highs close to $3.33, with the RSI trendline break appearing because the affirmation occasion Maelius is watching. If it fails, continued rejection on the EMA and a breakdown via the vary ground above $1.60 would maintain the wave-4 corrective section in play and delay the wave-5 path he’s mapped.
At press time, XRP traded at $2.37.