Ethereum Price Prediction: $3,000 Rejected, But On-Chain Data Tells Another Story
Ethereum is buying and selling within the $2,930–$2,950 vary as of January 25, 2026, consolidating after a broader pullback from January highs above $3,400. The transfer decrease displays near-term macro warning and heavy ETF-related promoting somewhat than a breakdown in community fundamentals.
With Bitcoin hovering close to $89,000 and danger sentiment blended, ETH has shifted right into a range-bound section the place worth is lagging underlying exercise.
ETF Pressure Weighs on Price, Not Structure
Short-term strain has largely come from spot ETH ETF outflows, which exceeded $600 million between January 20–23, led partially by a single-day $250 million exit from BlackRock’s ETHA. This promoting has cooled momentum and stored ETH capped beneath the $3,000 deal with.
However, the move information factors extra towards rotation and profit-taking than institutional abandonment. On-chain monitoring reveals whales accumulating roughly $1 billion price of ETH through the latest correction, whereas funding charges and open curiosity have reset from crowded lengthy circumstances. That mixture suggests leverage is being flushed, not confidence.
On-Chain Activity Tells a Different Story
Beneath the value, Ethereum’s community exercise stays robust. Daily energetic addresses have climbed towards 1.3 million, whereas transaction counts are holding between 1.9 million and a couple of.2 million per day.
Validator habits reinforces this pattern: exit queues are close to zero, entry queues are rebuilding, and staking participation continues to rise, tightening circulating provide.
Low charges and improved effectivity post-upgrades are additionally driving sustained DeFi and app utilization, reinforcing a “worth weak, fundamentals agency” dynamic that has traditionally preceded bigger pattern strikes.
Ethereum Rises Despite U.S.-Iran Tensions
On the geopolitical entrance, the tensions are rising between the U.S. and Iran as Iran’s Revolutionary Guard warns it’s “extra prepared than ever” amid U.S. warships shifting towards the Middle East. The warning comes after Iran’s latest crackdown on protests, which left 1000’s lifeless, and Trump has set strict pink traces for navy motion, together with stopping mass executions and violence in opposition to civilians.
Despite these geopolitical tensions, Ethereum (ETH) continues to rise. This reveals that buyers stay assured in Ethereum’s progress, seemingly supported by robust developments just like the Ethereum Foundation prioritizing post-quantum safety.
Ethereum Price Prediction: Compression Builds Near $2,950 as ETH Eyes Its Next Leg
Technically, Ethereum price prediction is bearish as ETH is holding above $2,850–$2,900, a key help zone aligned with prior demand and Fibonacci confluence. RSI stays subdued close to 35–40, signaling warning however not capitulation.
A reset towards help adopted by a reclaim of $3,060 would reopen upside towards $3,190–$3,400, whereas a clear break beneath $2,800 would danger a deeper retracement towards $2,700.
Looking forward, Ethereum’s 2026 roadmap provides weight to the longer-term case. The upcoming Glamsterdam improve and later Hegota section give attention to scalability, effectivity, and sustainability, constructing on blob infrastructure progress and accelerating Layer-2 adoption.
With over 8.7 million new contracts deployed getting into the yr, analysts more and more view 2026 as a possible breakout interval if macro circumstances stabilize.
Ethereum (ETH/USD) Trade setup: Accumulate close to $2,850–$2,900, goal $3,190–$3,400, invalidation beneath $2,700.
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