Worldcoin Price Jumps 50% as OpenAI Buzz Builds — Is Another 25% Move Possible?
Worldcoin value has quietly staged one of many strongest rebounds amongst large-cap altcoins. Since January 25, WLD is up almost 50%, with the previous 24 hours including round 13% as merchants presumably reacted to reviews linking OpenAI to a brand new social platform targeted on proof of personhood.
But the chart reveals this rally didn’t begin with the information. The OpenAI angle added momentum. The technical set off got here first.
Bullish Divergence Sparked Worldcoin’s Rally Before the News
Worldcoin’s rebound started forming nicely earlier than headlines appeared.
Between December 18 and January 25, the WLD value made a decrease low, whereas the Relative Strength Index (RSI) made the next low. RSI measures momentum. When value weakens, however momentum improves, it indicators that promoting strain is fading. This setup known as bullish divergence and infrequently seems close to pattern reversals.
That sign already performed out. Since the January 25 low, the Worldcoin value has climbed near 50%, outperforming most main altcoins over the identical interval.
This was not the primary time the sample labored. An identical divergence between December 18 and December 31 led to a 41% rally. The present transfer adopted the identical construction, suggesting the market was already shifting earlier than any OpenAI narrative entered the image.
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The information acted as an accelerant, not the ignition. However, the value transfer missed a key level that might form the narrative transferring ahead.
While the 50% rally claimed key Exponential Moving Average (EMA) strains, 20-day and 50-day EMAs, it fell in need of the 100-day EMA. An exponential transferring common (EMA) is a pattern indicator that offers extra weight to latest costs. When value trades above key EMAs, it suggests patrons are regaining management.
The final time this EMA was cleanly reclaimed in early September 2025, the value surged 115%. This line can be a key resistance degree going forward.
OpenAI’s Social Platform Narrative Added Momentum, Not the Base
Reports suggesting OpenAI may be exploring a social platform constructed round proof of personhood pushed Worldcoin into the highlight. The narrative suits cleanly. Worldcoin’s identification system is designed to confirm people with out revealing private information.
Price reacted quick. WLD surged sharply intraday however printed an extended higher wick on the day by day candle. That wick is the important thing. It reveals sellers stepped in as the value pushed increased, stopping a direct continuation.
On-chain information explains why.
Exchange inflows jumped sharply through the surge. Inflows rose from roughly 0.83 million WLD to a peak close to 10.7 million WLD in a brief window. At a present value close to $0.53, that represents over $5.6 million value of tokens transferring towards exchanges, presumably by underwater merchants. That provide helped cap the rally.
Since then, inflows have cooled again towards 3.4 million WLD, suggesting promoting strain has eased. But decreased promoting alone doesn’t assure follow-through. Buyers nonetheless have to step in.
Bigger Whales Positioned Early, Smaller Ones Followed Later
Whale conduct reveals a transparent cut up in timing.
Wallets holding 10 million to 100 million WLD started accumulating round January 15, nicely earlier than the OpenAI reviews. Their mixed holdings rose from roughly 1.67 billion to 1.70 billion WLD, a rise of about 30 million tokens, value roughly $15.9 million.
Smaller whales, the 1 million to 10 million WLD cohort, acted later. Over the previous 24 hours, their holdings elevated by about 2.6 million WLD, value roughly $1.4 million at present costs. Their shopping for coincided with the news-driven spike reasonably than the early technical sign.
This cut up issues. Larger whales positioned early on the construction. Smaller whales reacted to affirmation.
Worldcoin Price Levels Decide If A Critical 25% Push Is Possible
Worldcoin is still trading inside a bearish falling channel that has guided the value decrease since October. The latest surge briefly challenged the higher boundary however failed to carry above it.
Derivatives positioning stays comparatively balanced. On Binance’s WLD perpetual pair, quick leverage sits close to $4.65 million, whereas lengthy leverage is round $3.9 million. This slight quick tilt reduces rapid long-squeeze danger and suggests merchants stay cautious.
Key WLD value ranges now outline the setup.
On the upside, Worldcoin must reclaim $0.66 on a day by day shut, a 25% transfer from the present ranges. That degree aligns with the 100-day EMA, which rejected the value through the latest spike. A clear transfer above it opens upside towards $0.73, $0.84, and probably $0.95 if momentum builds.
On the draw back, shedding $0.51 weakens the WLD value construction. Below $0.48, liquidation danger will increase, with deeper draw back towards $0.43 if sellers regain management.
Worldcoin’s rebound is actual and technically grounded. But affirmation remains to be lacking. The OpenAI narrative added gasoline, not certainty. February will resolve whether or not this turns into a full pattern reversal or a powerful rally that runs out of room on rising promoting strain.
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