Coinbase Launches Prediction Markets Nationwide as Exchange Deepens Policy Push in Washington
Coinbase has rolled out prediction markets to customers throughout all 50 US states. This is a serious enlargement of event-based buying and selling on one of many nation’s largest crypto platforms. Moreover, it’s intensifying competitors with established gamers such as Kalshi and Polymarket.
The firm announced that prediction markets are actually absolutely reside in the United States, permitting customers to commerce on real-world outcomes spanning sports activities, politics, tradition, and present occasions immediately throughout the Coinbase app.
The function seems beneath a brand new “Predict” tab, positioning outcome-based contracts alongside crypto, derivatives, and different monetary merchandise.
“Out: odds set by the home. In: worth set by the gang,” Coinbase mentioned in a put up saying the launch, framing prediction markets as a shift away from conventional bookmaker-style fashions.
Out: Odds set by the home.
In: Price set by the gang.
Now there’s a brand new solution to commerce your takes.
Prediction markets are reside in all 50 states on Coinbase.
Trade any real-world outcomes throughout sports activities, politics, tradition and extra. pic.twitter.com/CIjz9T9pjX— Coinbase 🛡️ (@coinbase) January 28, 2026
Event contracts provided via a regulated entity
Coinbase mentioned listed futures and swaps tied to prediction markets are provided via Coinbase Financial Markets (CFM), a National Futures Association member agency. The firm emphasised that prediction contracts are absolutely regulated and carry substantial danger. It said that contracts pay out provided that the required occasion happens and that merchants might lose their total funding.
This follows Coinbase’s latest efforts to extend its product suite past spot crypto buying and selling. The trade races to place itself as a multi-asset platform providing publicity to equities, derivatives, and now event-based markets inside a single interface.
Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong amplified the launch by reposting the corporate’s announcement on X, describing prediction markets as a strong device for info discovery.
“Prediction markets are the last word type of fact searching for,” Armstrong wrote. “When there’s pores and skin in the sport, the output is way extra dependable. Everything else is biased by somebody’s agenda.”
Armstrong added that he believes prediction markets can be seen traditionally as a breakthrough in how societies mixture info. The similar applies to how society assesses real-world chances.
Prediction markets are the last word type of fact searching for. When there’s pores and skin in the sport, the output is way extra dependable. Everything else is biased by somebody’s agenda. I believe we’ll look again at prediction markets as a breakthrough in how we uncover fact in the world.… https://t.co/TJQPiHBP5g— Brian Armstrong (@brian_armstrong) January 28, 2026
Policy engagement in Washington intensifies
The product launch coincides with Coinbase’s rising involvement in crypto coverage discussions in Washington. According to a supply acquainted with the matter, Coinbase will be represented at a White House assembly scheduled for Feb. 2nd. The assembly will deliver collectively crypto business teams and banking lobbyists to debate the way forward for US crypto market construction laws.
It is anticipated to focus closely on stablecoin yield, a problem that beforehand led Coinbase to withdraw help for a proposed invoice earlier this month. Other crypto-side individuals confirmed to attend embody the Digital Chamber, the Blockchain Association, and the Crypto Council for Innovation.
Reuters first reported particulars of the assembly.
Prediction markets transfer towards the mainstream
By launching prediction markets nationwide, Coinbase indicators that event-based buying and selling is a part of its imaginative and prescient for an expanded monetary platform. The trade has described its technique as constructing a unified vacation spot the place customers can commerce throughout asset courses beneath a regulated framework.
The timing is notable as regulators, policymakers, and market individuals proceed to debate how prediction markets must be handled beneath US regulation. This primarily issues the place commodities regulation intersects with state-level playing statutes.
Whether this wager pays off for Coinbase might rely as a lot on regulatory outcomes as on consumer adoption. But with prediction markets now reside throughout all 50 states, Coinbase has firmly entered the race to outline the way forward for event-based buying and selling.
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