Plus500 Futures Launches Kalshi Prediction Markets for Retail Traders
Plus500 has launched prediction markets for US retail shoppers via its B2C model, Plus500 Futures. It will provide federally regulated occasion contracts delivered in partnership with Kalshi and cleared straight by Plus500.
The transfer is Plus500’s most direct entry but into event-based buying and selling. It comes amid a push by brokers and exchanges to faucet into the rising prediction markets phase, which logged an estimated $47 billion in international buying and selling quantity in 2025.
Under the brand new providing, Plus500’s US prospects can commerce prediction markets tied to financial indicators, monetary occasions, and geopolitical developments. The contracts are listed via Kalshi’s federally regulated change infrastructure. On the opposite hand, Plus500, via its US entity, acts because the clearing member through Kalshi Klear LLC.
The dealer mentioned the platform will present a “broad vary of regulated prediction markets,” positioning occasion contracts as a clear approach for retail merchants to specific views on real-world outcomes inside a regulated futures framework.
— Plus500 (@Plus500) February 3, 2026
Ultra-low charges as a aggressive lever
Plus500 CEO David Zruia mentioned the launch aligns with the agency’s concentrate on innovation and product growth past conventional contracts for distinction (CFDs).
“Prediction markets are attracting growing curiosity from each retail and institutional individuals alike,” Zruia mentioned, calling them a rising and related phase of recent buying and selling.
One notable element of Plus500’s prediction market launch is pricing. According to the broker’s website, prediction market contracts carry a fee of $0.01 per contract, putting the product among the many lowest-cost regulated occasion buying and selling choices.
Fee structure is necessary in a market the place many prediction contracts commerce at tight spreads. Moreover, they’re usually used for short-term positioning round information releases or political occasions.
The low-fee strategy is just like traits seen in equities and choices buying and selling over the previous decade. Usually, value compression helped drive retail adoption and normalize frequent buying and selling conduct.
Building on earlier event-contract partnerships
The US retail rollout follows Plus500’s appointment late final yr because the clearing associate for CME Group and FanDuel’s event-based contracts platform. This was a deal that indicated the dealer’s ambition to turn out to be a significant infrastructure supplier for regulated prediction markets.
While that earlier partnership targeted on institutional-grade clearing and infrastructure, Plus500 Futures brings occasion contracts straight to finish customers. It permits the agency to take part extra straight within the upside of retail adoption.
Analysts have described the growth as a validation of Plus500’s know-how stack and regulatory credibility, significantly within the US market, the place obstacles to entry stay high.
Shares hit a document high on launch
Investors responded positively to the announcement. Plus500 shares jumped as a lot as 8.5% to a document high following information of the U.S. prediction markets launch.
The firm generated $182.7 million in income within the third quarter of 2025, with about 15% coming from non-OTC companies. Management has been vocal about lowering reliance on CFDs and increasing into exchange-traded and controlled merchandise, particularly in jurisdictions with tighter advertising and marketing and compliance guidelines.
Prediction markets match neatly into that technique. It provides high engagement with out the identical regulatory stress confronted by leveraged OTC devices.
Mainstream finance strikes in
Plus500’s entry additional reveals how prediction markets are shifting into the monetary mainstream. While offshore crypto platforms equivalent to Polymarket dominate international volumes, US-regulated corporations like Kalshi have been instrumental in legitimizing the class domestically.
Robinhood additionally entered the area, beginning out providing markets routed via Kalshi, whereas CME Group’s involvement and Cboe Global Markets plans to enter the space sign elevated institutional acceptance. Plus500 now joins that cohort with a mannequin that blends regulated infrastructure and aggressive pricing.
By clearing contracts itself and charging minimal charges, Plus500 helps place prediction markets as a scalable buying and selling product.
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