Expert Predicts Bitcoin Price Could Fall To $45,000 By End Of 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) has formally entered a brand new bear market after struggling a steep 50% decline from its all‑time high. The main crypto fell as little as $60,000, marking its weakest stage since October 2024 and intensifying debate over how a lot additional costs may slide earlier than the following lengthy‑time period backside is reached.

As markets seek for course, crypto market skilled NoLimit has shared an in depth framework outlining when and the place he believes Bitcoin may in the end backside on this cycle. 

Rather than focusing solely on value targets, NoLimit argues that point performs an equally essential position in figuring out main turning factors in Bitcoin’s market cycles.

Potential Bitcoin Low In Oct–Nov 

According to his evaluation, previous Bitcoin bear markets present a comparatively constant sample when measured from all‑time highs to cycle lows. Following the primary Halving cycle in 2012, Bitcoin reached its backside after 406 days. 

The second Halving cycle in 2016 noticed a backside after 363 days, whereas the third cycle following the 2020 Halving bottomed after 376 days. The present cycle, following the 2024 Halving, has not but accomplished this course of.

Based on these historic timeframes, NoLimit believes there’s a high statistical chance that Bitcoin’s subsequent main capitulation level will happen between October and November 2026. 

What NUPL Data Suggests

In his evaluation, NoLimit additionally highlighted an institutional‑grade on‑chain indicator referred to as Net Unrealized Profit/Loss, or NUPL. Historically, when NUPL enters what’s known as the “blue zone,” Bitcoin has reached generational lows. 

This sign efficiently recognized the underside throughout the 2018 bear market, the COVID‑19 crash, and the 2022 market low. According to NoLimit, Bitcoin has not but entered this zone within the present cycle and stays far away from it.

Taking all elements under consideration, NoLimit mentioned he wouldn’t be shocked to see Bitcoin buying and selling between $45,000 and $50,000 by the tip of 2026. He described that vary as his final backside goal.

Featured picture from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com