Standard Chartered Sees Bitcoin Falling to $50,000 Before Recovery | US Crypto News
Welcome to the US Crypto News Morning Briefing—your important rundown of an important developments in crypto for the day forward.
Grab a espresso because the crypto market could also be heading into one other turbulent stretch. Analysts are warning that extra volatility might lie forward as macro uncertainty builds and investor sentiment weakens, setting the stage for a probably decisive second earlier than any significant restoration begins.
Crypto News of the Day: Standard Chartered Warns of Final Capitulation, Sees Bitcoin Falling to $50,000 Before Recovery
Standard Chartered is warning that crypto markets might face one ultimate wave of promoting stress earlier than staging a broader restoration. According to the financial institution, Bitcoin might drop to $50,000 and Ethereum to $1,400 within the months forward.
In a notice to shoppers, Geoff Kendrick, the financial institution’s Head of Digital Asset Research, mentioned the near-term outlook stays difficult amid intensifying macroeconomic headwinds and weakening ETF flows.
“I feel we’re going to see extra ache and a ultimate capitulation interval for digital asset costs within the subsequent few months,” Kendrick wrote. “The macro backdrop is unlikely to present assist till we close to Warsh taking up on the Fed.”
According to Kendrick, the current correction has additional to run earlier than markets discover a sturdy backside. On the draw back, he expects:
“BTC to USD 50,000 or simply under, ETH to USD 1,400.”
Despite the bearish short-term name, Kendrick framed these ranges as strategic entry factors quite than structural breakdowns.
“They will probably be purchase ranges, for end-of-year forecasts of $100,000 (BTC) and $4,000 (ETH). Take care on the market.”
The revised projections mark a notable discount from the financial institution’s earlier targets of $150,000 for Bitcoin and $7,500 for Ethereum, reported in a current US Crypto News publication.
Still, Standard Chartered maintains a constructive long-term view as soon as the present drawdown performs out.
Macro Headwinds and ETF Outflows
Kendrick emphasised that macroeconomic conditions are weighing closely on digital property. While the US economic system could also be softening, markets are usually not pricing in imminent fee cuts.
“The macro danger backdrop can be turning into tougher – the US economic system could also be softening, however markets count on no additional fee cuts till Warsh takes over as Fed chair in June,” he mentioned.
With liquidity support likely delayed, investor habits is shifting. The Standard Chartered government observes that holdings of digital asset ETFs have fallen (albeit in an orderly method), and the typical Bitcoin ETF holding is now down round 25%.
“Against this backdrop, we expect ETF holders are extra doubtless to promote, quite than purchase the dip, for now.”
The decline in ETF holdings is especially important provided that spot Bitcoin ETFs have been a key driver of inflows over the past rally. A sustained interval of redemptions might amplify draw back volatility if sentiment deteriorates additional.
A More Resilient Market Structure with Recovery Path Into 2026
Despite forecasting additional losses, Standard Chartered argues that the present sell-off differs materially from earlier crypto downturns.
“Recent worth motion for digital property has been difficult, to say the least. We count on additional declines within the close to time period and are decreasing our forecasts throughout the asset class. However, we count on costs to recuperate after hitting their lows within the subsequent few months, and our long-term constructive view stays intact,” Kendrick mentioned.
Importantly, he added that this sell-off has been much less excessive than earlier ones and has not seen the collapse of any digital asset platforms (as was the case in 2022). This, in accordance to Kenrick, means that crypto as an asset class is maturing and turning into extra resilient.
That structural resilience might in the end assist a stronger restoration section as soon as macro circumstances stabilize and liquidity expectations shift.
Looking past the anticipated capitulation section, Standard Chartered anticipates a rebound by way of the rest of 2026.
“Once the lows have been reached, we count on the asset class to recuperate for the remainder of 2026,” Kendrick mentioned.
The financial institution now forecasts Bitcoin at $100,000 and Ethereum at $4,000 by year-end 2026, with different digital property doubtless to “broadly comply with the majors.”
Chart of the Day
Standard Chartered initiatives the Bitcoin worth falling to $50,000 earlier than restoration. Such a transfer would represent a 26% drop under present ranges.
Byte-Sized Alpha
Here’s a abstract of extra US crypto information to comply with right this moment:
- MicroStrategy plans to issue more perpetual preferred stock: What it means for MSTR.
- Four indicators that Bitcoin is within the early levels of a bear market: How long could it last?
- Elon Musk reveals X Money may launch soon, fueling crypto hypothesis.
- Bitcoin whale accumulation resembles 2022 construction – Can it revive BTC price?
- Solana long-term holder capitulation reaches a 3-year high as worth nears dropping $80.
- A crypto lender has halted withdrawals: Is this another FTX moment?
- XRP flashes historic rebound hint, however shopping for drops 85% — What’s subsequent for worth?
- Crypto market sentiment falls into excessive concern: What does it mean for investors?
Crypto Equities Pre-Market Overview
| Company | Close As of February 11 | Pre-Market Overview |
| Strategy (MSTR) | $126.14 | $127.54 (+1.11%) |
| Coinbase (COIN) | $153.20 | $154.29 (+0.71%) |
| Galaxy Digital Holdings (GLXY) | $20.40 | $20.46 (+0.29%) |
| MARA Holdings (MARA) | $7.56 | $7.64 (+1.06%) |
| Riot Platforms (RIOT) | $14.80 | $14.89 (+0.41%) |
| Core Scientific (CORZ) | $18.09 | $18.19 (+0.55%) |
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