Bitcoin’s Most Dangerous Pattern Just Triggered: Will BTC Dump to $26K Next?
Although bitcoin has already dumped by over 50% from its all-time high of over $126,000 marked in October to a multi-year low of $60,000, the asset’s troubles won’t be over, warned Merlijn The Trader.
The well-liked analyst indicated that the “most harmful bitcoin sample simply accomplished part one,” and BTC may very well be on its method to $26,000.
Another 60% Crash within the Making?
Merlijn believes step one on this ‘harmful sample’ got here after the completion of the bull lure at $105,000. The failure to proceed upward implies that the market maker’s bearish mode was activated, and if this performs out, the cryptocurrency may very well be on its method to one other huge 60+% crash to $26,000.
If such a doomsday situation certainly takes place, bitcoin would dump to its lowest price ticket since September 2023. Meaning, it has not traded at these ranges in nearly three years.
The analyst defined that the $70,000 help is “the final line of protection.” If BTC holds it, then the bearish situation fails. However, if it loses it, then the $26,000 drop comes into play. What’s significantly worrying for bitcoin is that it dipped under that stage earlier as we speak and has failed to get well it. The weekly closing candle is simply hours away.
THE MOST DANGEROUS BITCOIN PATTERN JUST COMPLETED PHASE ONE.
Bull Trap at $105K: accomplished.
Market Maker bearish mannequin: activating.If this performs out: $26K earlier than new ATH.
$70K is the final line of protection.
Hold it: bearish situation fails.
Lose it: mannequin executes. $26K subsequent cease.… pic.twitter.com/wMyWVx3U0C— Merlijn The Trader (@MerlijnTrader) March 22, 2026
Or, A New Bull Phase?
Merlijn’s publish reads {that a} drop to $26,000 may open the trail to a brand new bull run and a contemporary all-time high. In distinction, Ali Martinez was extra bullish on the asset’s future worth efficiency. Looking on the Inter-Exchange Flow Puls (IFP), the analyst with roughly 165,000 followers on X famous that the metric has “formally began rising once more.”
It tracks the depth of bitcoin transfers between centralized exchanges and, Martinez added, has simply flashed a serious purchase sign. This is as a result of a rising IFP confirms “energetic liquidity redistribution,” which has traditionally acted because the “heartbeat of each main market growth.”
Bitcoin $BTC may very well be coming into a brand new bull market!
The Inter-Exchange Flow Pulse (IFP) has formally began rising once more. This metric tracks the depth of BTC transfers between centralized exchanges—and it simply flashed a serious purchase sign.
• The Signal: A rising IFP… pic.twitter.com/LjsyiBr6DW
— Ali Charts (@alicharts) March 21, 2026
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