Bitcoin Last Line Of Defense Revealed: Can BTC Price Still Go To $40,000?

Bitcoin is presently buying and selling round $66,400, which is nearly 48% beneath its all-time high of $126,080 set in October 2025, and a technical evaluation is drawing a line in the sand for the correction. 

According to a crypto analyst often called Leshka.eth, Bitcoin is now approaching a worth degree that may decide whether or not this cycle survives or collapses right into a full reset. That line is $60,000, and whether or not it holds might form Bitcoin’s worth trajectory for the remainder of the 12 months.

$60,000 As The Important Line Of Defense

According to crypto analyst Leshka.eth, the $60,000 worth is now crucial zone for Bitcoin within the present market construction. This degree is what the analyst describes as the ultimate barrier that may decide whether or not a deeper correction performs out to cheaper price ranges.

Bitcoin has been buying and selling across the low $70,000 area in current periods, and the previous 24 hours have been characterised by one other 3.3% drop. Although its present positioning retains it comfortably above the $60,000 degree for now, the margin is not extensive sufficient to disregard draw back dangers.

The weekly candlestick chart shared by the analyst reveals how earlier breakdowns from related constructions have led to cost crashes. However, you will need to word that Bitcoin has not misplaced the $60,000 worth degree this cycle, with the early February crash discovering a backside round $63,000. 

This context makes the $60,000 degree significantly vital. It has kept on acting as a stable flooring all through the previous two months, serving to to keep up the upper worth construction between $63,000 and $76,000. Therefore, a lack of $60,000 would imply that buyers have lost control of an essential structural degree that has supported the Bitcoin worth all through the present cycle.

Bitcoin Price Chart. Source: @leshka_eth On X

The Macro Trendline In Every Bitcoin Cycle

The broader construction turns into clearer when wanting on the long-term trendline drawn throughout a number of Bitcoin cycles. The trendline, which is drawn on the weekly candlestick chart from 2018 by to a projected 2028, connects the deepest cycle lows that fashioned throughout prolonged bearish worth motion.

In late 2018, Bitcoin topped out, collapsed, and fell to the trendline in 2020 earlier than coming into a protracted accumulation part close to the lows. It then lastly surged into the 2021 cycle prime. The similar construction repeated within the 2022 bear market: Bitcoin crashed from its peak, returned to the macro trendline in 2023, amassed, and launched into a brand new cycle that carried it to $126,080 in October 2025.

That trendline is now across the $40,000 worth degree. According to the analyst, if $60,000 holds, then the cycle survives. If it breaks, $40,000 turns into the underside and accumulation begins over, Leshka.eth wrote within the submit on X.

Featured picture from Pexels, chart from TradingView