Prediction Markets Hit New Milestones in March Despite Growing Regulatory Scrutiny

Prediction market transactions surpassed 192 million in March 2026. This represents an all-time report as quantity and consumer development continued to speed up yr over yr.

The figures, tracked by Dune, replicate a sector that has shifted from a distinct segment use case right into a multibillion-dollar monetary market.

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The variety of month-to-month customers grew to a report high of 865,411, a roughly 118% improve from 396,642 in March 2025. 

Monthly notional buying and selling quantity for prediction markets reached roughly $23.89 billion up to now in March, a roughly 1,107% year-over-year improve. Nonetheless, it stays round 10.7% under January’s all-time high of $26.7 billion.

BeInCrypto’s exclusive analysis found that sports activities, crypto, and politics lead weekly quantity on Polymarket. On Kalshi, the exotics class overtook politics in late February to safe a place among the many prime three classes by weekly quantity in line with Dune information.

The behavioral information additionally suggests a structural shift. On Polymarket, over 57% of customers commerce lower than $100 per place. 

The common lively participant executes roughly 25 trades per day. That frequency mirrors patterns seen in retail inventory buying and selling moderately than conventional betting.

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Despite the expansion, prediction markets face growing regulatory scrutiny. Lawmakers have launched a number of payments in March alone, ranging from curbing insider buying and selling to banning war-related contracts.

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