Altcoin Season Could Break Out in March? New Signals Are Emerging

Although the market restoration in February stays fragile, it has revealed a number of notable indicators. These indicators have led analysts to count on that an altcoin season may emerge in March.

However, investor sentiment stays cautious, with capital nonetheless favoring Bitcoin over altcoins, which may hinder a broader restoration.

Hope Returns to the Altcoin Market in March

Data from CryptoQuant exhibits that solely about 5% of altcoins listed on Binance are buying and selling above their 200-day easy shifting common (200-day SMA). This implies that 95% stay beneath this degree, reflecting the present weak efficiency of altcoins.

However, historic patterns supply a glimmer of hope. Over the previous two years, this ratio sometimes stayed beneath 15% for a most of 5 months earlier than rebounding. This sample appeared throughout the June–October 2024 interval and once more from February to June 2025.

The ratio started declining in October final yr and has now reached the top of its fifth month. This improvement raises expectations of a possible demand increase, as traders might view most altcoins as having fallen to enticing worth ranges.

Meanwhile, a number of analysts have recognized early optimistic indicators on the OTHERS/BTC chart in February, which tracks whole altcoin market capitalization excluding Bitcoin in opposition to BTC.

Analyst Blade famous that the chart exhibits potential reversal indicators on the month-to-month timeframe. The MACD indicator has crossed above the sign line and fashioned its first inexperienced histogram bar since early 2024. Similar indicators appeared earlier than main altcoin rallies in 2017 and 2020.

“Momentum shift plus construction compression normally precede enlargement. The greatest altseason is coming,” Blade predicted.

These elements have strengthened expectations that altcoins may publish a restoration in March.

Altcoin Investors Remain Cautious

For a extra balanced perspective, information from CryptoQuant signifies that the ratio of altcoin buying and selling quantity to Bitcoin buying and selling quantity on centralized exchanges (CEXs) has fallen to its lowest degree in the previous yr.

In 2025, the ratio peaked at round 3.5. It then progressively declined, falling beneath 2.5 by late final yr and persevering with to hover close to 2.2 in early 2026.

This development exhibits that investor expectations for an altcoin season stay weak. Capital continues to pay attention primarily on Bitcoin, leaving altcoins comparatively uncared for on centralized exchanges. A real altcoin season might require sustained capital rotation and contemporary inflows into the market.

At the time of writing, the Altcoin Season Index stands at 43, nonetheless removed from the 75-point threshold wanted to verify an altcoin season.

A current report by BeInCrypto said that the altcoin market has faced 13 consecutive months of net selling. Even if an altcoin season materializes, it’s more likely to be selective and pushed by sturdy fundamentals.

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