Analyst Reveals The Best Time To Buy Bitcoin And The Best Time To Sell
Bitcoin’s long-term value construction could look chaotic on lower timeframes, however one crypto analyst believes it’s following a extra predictable sample on bigger timeframes.
In a latest put up on X, analyst Tony outlined a macro cycle framework that he says has constantly outlined the perfect home windows to build up Bitcoin and the perfect durations to exit round cycle highs. His principle is predicated on historic bull and bear market durations stretching again to 2015, and he claims the present cycle is following that very same sample virtually completely.
The 1,066-Day Bull And 365-Day Bear Pattern
According to Tony, Bitcoin’s market cycles have adopted a remarkably constant construction over the previous decade. Each main bull market has lasted roughly 1,066 days, followed by a bear phase of about one year.
The first instance he highlights runs from January 8, 2015, to December 17, 2017, a 1,066-day enlargement that ended close to the cycle peak. That was adopted by a one-year decline into December 2018. The identical sample repeated from December 16, 2018, to November 10, 2021, one other 1,066-day bull run, adopted by a 365-day bear market into November 2022.
According to Tony, the present cycle isn’t any completely different. The most up-to-date bull market was dated from November 22, 2022, to October 6, 2025, proper when Bitcoin reached a peak value of $126,080. Interestingly, this era as soon as once more totaled roughly 1,066 days.
Keeping this cycle of bull and bear durations in thoughts, the following bear section, he suggests, ought to run from October 7, 2025, to October 5, 2026, finishing one other 365-day correction. This means Bitcoin could continue to trade in corrections of decrease highs and decrease lows till early October 2026. However, the timing isn’t good to the precise day, and there generally is a 10- to 20-day variance to the anticipated date.
The chart hooked up to his put up, proven under, divides these cycles into inexperienced enlargement zones and purple correction phases. Previous peaks round $69,000 in 2021 and $126,000 in 2025 are marked clearly, with the projection being a move to $40,000 and one other return to $200,000 earlier than the following purple correction zone takes over.
Final Capitulation Could Still Be Ahead
In a separate put up, Tony warned that the following main Bitcoin backside could not but be in place. The analyst projected additional declines till Bitcoin enters into a robust help area between $40,000 and $50,000, with a possible backside forming between mid-September and late November 2026.
He contrasted two emotional extremes within the evaluation: early patrons celebrating perceived bargains throughout a falling market and later contributors paralyzed by concern as the value reaches deep help.
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is buying and selling at $66,950, sitting 47% under its October 2025 all-time high however nonetheless considerably above the $40,000-$50,000 identified as a potential ultimate backside zone. This projection signifies that Bitcoin may nonetheless fall additional by 50% to 40% earlier than it establishes a backside.
