ASTER’s Next Big Move Depends on One Key Level and Critical October Unlock
Aster (ASTER) has shortly grabbed consideration as the newest Binance-backed undertaking, with some already framing it as a attainable HyperLiquid challenger. The token launched on AsterDEX, the place early claimants from its airdrop marketing campaign have been the principle drivers of buying and selling. For now, the ASTER worth sits round $0.62, down over 5% within the final 24 hours.
However, till withdrawals unlock on a particular key date, the value motion stays trapped inside DEX-only flows. That date and the reclaim of 1 key stage, mentioned later, will decide whether or not the ASTER worth rallies or crashes.
Money Flows and Momentum Hint at Weakening Sell Pressure
Since ASTER started buying and selling on September 17, Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has steadily dropped, displaying that enormous cash flows had been exiting the ASTER market. This aligns with the primary wave of airdrop claimants probably swapping or promoting their preliminary allocations.
But within the final hour, CMF has begun transferring increased, suggesting that the tempo of outflows is slowing. The ASTER price can see some extra energy if the hourly CMF index manages to maneuver into the constructive territory,
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The On-Balance Volume (OBV) line, which tracks cumulative shopping for and promoting, reveals an analogous zigzag. It fell closely after launch however is now attempting to show upward once more. If OBV can break again towards impartial, it could verify that consumers are step by step absorbing the promoting stress on AsterDEX.
On the shorter 15-minute chart, RSI additionally factors to easing stress. Between a number of key ASTER buying and selling periods, the value made increased lows whereas the RSI slipped to decrease lows — a hidden bullish divergence. This is commonly an early signal that momentum is shifting again towards consumers.
All of those metrics recommend the identical story: promoting stress is weakening, even whereas the market waits for the October 1 unlock. Once withdrawals are stay, extra holders will likely be free to promote, however it’s going to additionally imply ASTER becomes accessible on main exchanges. That growth of liquidity may both unleash broader promoting or let consumers step in additional aggressively.
RSI (Relative Strength Index) is a momentum indicator that tracks whether or not shopping for or promoting stress is stronger.
Users can declare ASTER of their Spot/DEX account from the itemizing, however withdrawals will stay locked till October 1, which suggests tokens should keep contained in the platform (although buying and selling is allowed). After October 1, extra holders will be capable to transfer their tokens off the platform, which may improve each promoting stress and liquidity.
$0.73 is the Key ASTER Price Level to Watch
On the value chart, one stage stands out. The ASTER worth should reclaim $0.73, its itemizing high on AsterDEX, to substantiate the subsequent bullish leg. For now, resistance lies at $0.64 and $0.66, whereas $0.55 acts as essential assist. If that assist breaks, the danger of recent lows grows.
This places the token at a crossroads. Until October 1, buying and selling is confined to AsterDEX spot markets, leaving worth discovery within the fingers of early members. After that date, liquidity will widen, CEX listings are anticipated, and ASTER will face its first actual stress check.
If consumers handle to soak up promoting and push above $0.73, the bullish “Hyperliquid-flipping” narrative will strengthen. But if October 1 brings a flood of promoting from airdrop claimants, ASTER may as an alternative tip into deeper losses. The market now waits to see which means it breaks.
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