How Prediction Markets Saw the Platner Surge and Mills Exit in Maine Ahead of Polls
Key Takeaways ▸ Prediction markets priced Graham Platner as the clear favourite months earlier than Janet Mills exited, whereas polls lagged behind. ▸ Traders centered on fundraising weak point and momentum shifts, indicators that polls underweighted however markets shortly included. ▸ Mills’ suspension confirmed a state of affairs merchants had already priced in, with Susan…
