Bear Market Rally? Bitcoin Demand Shows Improvement but Remains Weak (CryptoQuant)
Over the previous week, bitcoin (BTC) has rebounded, with the worth approaching sure essential thresholds. Despite this rally within the asset’s worth, analysts on the crypto analysis agency CryptoQuant imagine the market, led by BTC, has not escaped the bears’ claws.
In a weekly report from CryptoQuant, market specialists famous that BTC demand circumstances have improved lately. However, they’re nonetheless weak and haven’t modified considerably. This substantiates the declare that the market remains to be in a bearish part regardless of bitcoin’s newest rally.
Bitcoin Sees Bear Market Rally
Since November 21, 2025, BTC has risen by roughly 20% to its present ranges. The rally follows a 19% decline that confirmed the beginning of a bear market as BTC fell under its 365-day transferring common (MA). The surge introduced the main cryptocurrency close to its 365-day MA, at present sitting at $101,000.
Historically, the 365-day MA has acted as a regime boundary with earlier bear cycles displaying repeated rejections close to that stage earlier than renewed downward motion. BTC recorded an analogous sample within the 2022 bear cycle, and this time isn’t any completely different.
The rally in bitcoin’s worth comes amid barely improved but weak demand circumstances. In truth, spot demand remains to be contracting. U.S. spot indicators, such because the Coinbase Price Premium and spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), briefly turned constructive. The Coinbase premium briefly elevated from deep detrimental territory for the second time since mid-December 2025.
Bitcoin Demand Remains Weak
On the ETF entrance, there may be nonetheless no extraordinary exercise. These merchandise merely stopped web promoting in the course of the rally, after offloading as a lot as 54,000 BTC over a 30-day interval in November 2025. Spot Bitcoin ETFs haven’t indicated a powerful return of U.S. demand or proven sustained accumulation.
Furthermore, obvious demand metrics reveal that Bitcoin spot demand has contracted by 67,000 BTC during the last 30 days and has been in detrimental territory since November 28, 2025. Spot Bitcoin ETFs within the U.S. have bought solely 3,800 BTC up to now this 12 months, in comparison with 3,600 on the identical time final 12 months – ranges under thresholds related to bull-market recoveries.
Meanwhile, analysts say BTC might face elevated promoting stress within the coming weeks, as trade flows have begun to rise after the latest rally. Bitcoin transfers to exchanges have spiked to a seven-day common of 39,000 BTC. Increased flows into exchanges are traditionally related to escalating promoting exercise, so there could also be extra hassle for BTC forward.
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