Bitcoin (BTC) Breakout Watch: Holding Strong at Critical Trendline
Bitcoin is holding above a trendline that has influenced its worth motion for the previous 4 years. This stage, as soon as seen as resistance, is now being examined as assist following a confirmed weekly candle shut above it.
Long-Term Support Holds After Weekly Close
A chart shared by Ash Crypto exhibits Bitcoin staying above a rising trendline that has been in place since 2021. This line beforehand rejected worth on three totally different events over the previous three years. Now, with Bitcoin buying and selling above it, the extent is performing as assist.
BITCOIN weekly candle closed above the 4-year Trend Key stage
BTC is sitting proper on the macro long-term trendline that’s held the market collectively for 4 years.
This stage has acted as main resistance 3 instances during the last 3 years, now flipping as sturdy assist.
As lengthy as… pic.twitter.com/Y6WuGu57Vk
— Ash Crypto (@AshCrypto) November 24, 2025
Ash Crypto famous that “so long as BTC holds above this trendline, the long-term outlook stays bullish.” This trendline stays a reference level for each bulls and bears.
While the weekly chart indicators energy, the each day exhibits resistance. According to Titan of Crypto, BTC is testing the Tenkan-sen stage on the Ichimoku chart. The Tenkan-sen has capped worth motion throughout the latest bounce from the $82,000 space.
Titan famous that “a clear shut above it’s wanted to unlock larger ranges.” Until that occurs, the worth could keep inside a restricted vary. If Bitcoin does shut above the Tenkan-sen, it might open room for a transfer towards the Kijun-sen and presumably the decrease boundary of the Ichimoku cloud.
Selling Activity Slowing Down
A chart from Swissblock Technologies exhibits the “Risk Off Signal” peaking throughout the latest drop, then falling from above 90 to round 61. This decline indicators that the heavy promoting seen earlier could also be easing. The chart additionally exhibits two earlier spikes in March and April, adopted by a low-risk interval.

The reappearance of low-risk indicators on the identical chart means that the market could also be forming an area backside. That Martini Guy commented,
“Bitcoin promoting strain is easing. BTC is beginning to kind a backside, as concern begins to drop.”
These adjustments in threat stage usually happen close to the top of main correction phases.
Whale Accumulation and Retail Exit
Santiment information shows the variety of wallets holding at least 100 BTC has gone up by 91 since November 11. At the identical time, the variety of small wallets is falling, suggesting that retail traders are pulling again. Meanwhile, some older wallets have additionally moved cash just lately, with long-time holders reducing positions.
“Retail capitulation will typically play out properly for crypto costs in the long term,” Santiment reported.
While this might assist the case for a market backside, it additionally exhibits combined habits amongst bigger holders as Bitcoin strikes by way of a risky section.
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