Bitcoin Faces ‘Septembear’ Decline as Historical Patterns Suggest Monthly High Near
According to historic patterns, Bitcoin units its month-to-month high or low throughout the first 12 days of the month greater than 80% of the time.
“It’s been technique to attend out the primary few days of the month, as it usually sees uneven worth motion with plenty of shakeouts,” stated full-time dealer and analyst Daan Crypto Trades on Tuesday.
He stated that seasonality for September isn’t the very best, however October and November are usually superb. “With that each one in thoughts, any bigger dip at first of this month will probably be one to observe carefully,” he added.
$BTC A brand new month forward.
Statistics say that Bitcoin units its month-to-month high or low throughout the first 12 days of the month 80%+ of the instances.
It’s been technique to attend out the primary few days of the month as it usually sees uneven worth motion with plenty of shakeouts.… pic.twitter.com/Bzx9eE0h7w
— Daan Crypto Trades (@DaanCrypto) September 1, 2025
A Bearish Month for Bitcoin
According to CoinGlass, Bitcoin has declined in 8 out of the final 12 Septembers it has traded, so odds are that this one may also be purple since it’s a bull market 12 months.
BTC fell by greater than 7% within the ‘Septembear’ of the 2017 and 2021 bull market years, so a repeat of historical past may see it slide to only over $100,000 by the tip of the month.
“Historically, September has been the worst month for Bitcoin, with a median return of -3.47% over the previous 13 years,” noticed analyst ‘Mags.’
#Bitcoin – Buy in September, Sell in November ?
Historically, September has been the worst month for Bitcoin, with a median return of -3.47% over the previous 13 years, whereas October and November have been essentially the most bullish months for Bitcoin. pic.twitter.com/ATDGuvNYnZ
— Mags (@thescalpingpro) September 1, 2025
In the quick time period, ‘Crypto Caesar’ predicted a possible bounce off present ranges, however cautioned {that a} continued downward pattern may ship BTC again to help at round $100,000.
“Bitcoin is sitting proper on the short-term holder realized worth,” which is a key help/resistance degree to observe, said CryptoQuant analyst JA Maartun.
Additionally, not one of the CoinGlass Bitcoin bull market indicators have been triggered but, including additional weight to the present decline being a predictable seasonal correction.
BTC Price Outlook
Bitcoin is buying and selling up round 2.5% on the day, which has enabled it to reclaim the $110,000 degree for the primary time since Friday.
It bounced off an intraday low of $107,500 to hit $110,500 throughout early buying and selling in Asia on Tuesday morning, however seems to have hit resistance there.
BTC is presently 11% down from its all-time high, which is fairly shallow in comparison with earlier September market corrections … however there’s nonetheless an extended strategy to go this month.
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