Bitcoin Fear Hit Levels Last Seen at $3,000 and $18,000 Price Points
Bitcoin (BTC) slid close to $62,500 because the Crypto Fear and Greed Index hit 10. Bitcoin concern this excessive has appeared solely close to previous cycle bottoms.
The index sat at 8 a day earlier and at 47 a month in the past. Two broadly adopted momentum charts present why the drop occurred and what may sign a flip.
Momentum Broke First, Then Price Followed
A Glassnode chart shared by analyst BitcoinVector tracks Bitcoin value, value momentum, and spot cumulative quantity delta facet by facet. Momentum fell beneath the +0.5 threshold properly earlier than value broke down.
The identical chart reveals spot demand weakening at that second. Cumulative quantity delta flipped to roughly detrimental 1,000, an indication that aggressive sellers took management on spot exchanges. Momentum now sits pinned at the -1.00 flooring.
BitcoinVector argues the order of occasions issues. Momentum weakens first, spot demand fades second, and value breaks final.
Crypto Sentiment Collapsed From Neutral to Extreme Fear
The Crypto Fear and Greed Index weighs volatility, momentum, quantity, and social indicators on a 0-100 scale. It learn 47, or impartial, only one month in the past.
Within weeks, it fell to 23, then to eight, and now sits at 10. Both current readings land in excessive concern, the zone the place panic normally dominates buying and selling.
That pessimism mirrors a concern streak that not too long ago turned one of many longest for the reason that FTX collapse. Past work on crypto emotions means that sentiment typically strikes towards extremes moderately than the center.
Bitcoin Fear at These Levels Has Marked Past Bottoms
A chart from BitboBTC colours Bitcoin value knowledge by its concern studying. Deep extreme-fear values cluster virtually solely at main lows.
The blue circles mark these moments. They line up with the late-2018 backside close to $3,000, the March 2020 crash close to $4,800, and the 2022 bear-market low close to $18,000.
Today’s studying of 10 locations present sentiment alongside these occasions. BTC is down about 50% from its October 2025 report close to $126,200.
However, concern has stayed low for weeks earlier than, and costs floor decrease afterward, so some analysts have urged patience at related readings.
What Would Confirm a Bitcoin Recovery
An earlier Swissblock chart frames the restoration set off. Momentum must cross again above -0.5 to sign that capitulation is easing.
Swissblock calls that transfer the primary signal of structural reconstruction. Until it occurs, the agency sees a fragile base case the place value builds a spread or grinds decrease.
For now, BTC trades close to $62,500, down about 1.7% over the previous 24 hours, with a market cap of about $1.25 trillion.
A reclaim of -0.5 momentum may open room towards the $70,000 space, whereas a failure to carry may lengthen the decline. Two competing situations keep in play till the sign turns.
Bitcoin concern stays traditionally excessive, but a confirmed backside is just clear in hindsight. This article is for data solely and doesn’t represent monetary recommendation.
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