Bitcoin Nears Breakdown or Bounce: What’s Next for BTC Price?
Bitcoin (BTC) is testing a key technical degree after dropping from latest highs. At the time of writing, the asset trades close to $93,000 with a 24-hour lack of 2%. Over the previous seven days, it stays up by nearly 3%.
After failing to carry above $95,000, the worth declined by $3,000 inside hours. This newest transfer locations Bitcoin straight beneath its 50-week shifting common, a degree that has held as assist all through earlier levels of the present cycle.
Weekly Support Comes Under Pressure
The 50-week shifting common has served as a base for a number of value recoveries during the last yr. Bitcoin’s return to this line, now from beneath, raises questions on whether or not it will possibly maintain or fail. Analyst Merlijn The Trader referred to as the setup a “make-or-break second.” He famous, “Reclaim and maintain MA50. Continuation greater,” outlining the potential bullish state of affairs. If that fails, he warns of “extra draw back.”
BTC weekly: make-or-break second.
Bitcoin is retesting the 50-week shifting common.
This degree has acted as assist a number of instances on this cycle.
Bull case:
Reclaim and maintain MA50. Continuation greater.Bear case:
Rejection at MA50. More draw back. pic.twitter.com/iOgG64tHzH— Merlijn The Trader (@MerlijnTrader) January 19, 2026
The present rejection close to the $95,000 zone exhibits that the market is cautious. A detailed again above the shifting common might assist reset momentum. Without it, sellers might keep in management.
Despite short-term weak point, Bitcoin continues to commerce above the 21-day shifting common. This degree has supported the latest pattern of upper lows and exhibits that momentum isn’t completely misplaced. Analyst Michaël van de Poppe pointed to rising concern round macro information however urged that the pattern has not damaged.
“Lots of people are afraid… I don’t assume it’s best to,” he wrote on X.
Support is constructing close to $90,000, and this zone might determine the following transfer. On the upside, the resistance band between $100,000 and $105,700 stays in play. Unless the asset breaks by that vary with robust quantity, upside strikes might stay restricted.
BTC Price Reacts to Global Headlines
The transfer down got here after information of latest commerce tariffs out of the US, which the markets responded to early within the futures session. Analyst Daan Crypto Trades noted,
“BTC moved straight down from the futures open when TradFi acquired an opportunity to react.”
He additionally pointed to the 4-hour 200EMA as short-term assist. This decline exhibits how carefully crypto markets at the moment are monitoring main international occasions. With uncertainty high, merchants might wait to see how US equities react within the coming classes.
Still, some analysts are pointing to optimistic indicators beneath the floor. Long-term holders seem like promoting much less.
“They’re clearly not promoting like that is the highest,” said on-chain observer Crypto Tice.
According to CryptoQuant’s COINDREAM, the latest bounce was not led by leverage, however by shopping for within the spot market. They explained that demand got here first from spot merchants earlier than shifting into futures. That shift factors to early-stage accumulation slightly than a short-lived rally.
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