Bitcoin Price Prediction: Bitcoin Shines With Weekend Pump On China Trade Deal Expectations – Is BTC About to Hit $130K This Week?
Bitcoin is buying and selling with a bullish bias, having surged to $115,185, rising practically 1.40% in 24 hours. Most of the optimism is pushed amid renewed US-China commerce talks which is supporting broader danger sentiment. With a market cap of round $2.29 trillion and each day buying and selling quantity of above $56.6 billion, Bitcoin stays the top-ranked cryptocurrency globally, supported by its restricted circulating provide of 19.94 million BTC.
US-China Trade Talks Ease Market Tensions
The optimistic sentiment follows experiences that Washington and Beijing reached a commerce “framework” throughout weekend talks in Kuala Lumpur, easing issues of an escalating tariff battle. The potential deal, anticipated to be formalized throughout Thursday’s APEC Summit in South Korea, may forestall the US from imposing a 100% tariff on Chinese items and delay China’s deliberate rare-earth export controls.
According to US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, Beijing has agreed to increase agricultural imports, together with soybeans, which may assist US farmers. China’s Vice Premier He Lifeng echoed related optimism, stating that each side achieved “a primary consensus” and would finalize particulars quickly.
Asian equities and commodities rose on Monday, extending positive factors, as markets priced in a possible easing of geopolitical dangers which have clouded development forecasts for a lot of 2025.
Trade Tensions and Market Outlook
This week’s Trump-Xi meeting is essential because the market individuals expect progress towards de-escalating tariffs and expertise restrictions, particularly after Beijing’s latest announcement requiring export licenses for sure semiconductor supplies and rare-earth parts, minerals important for manufacturing electrical autos and protection methods.
Trump’s retaliatory tariff threats had spooked markets earlier this month. However, latest updates recommend a extra measured tone; due to this fact, easing commerce tensions may revive world danger urge for food. This might not directly profit cryptocurrencies similar to Bitcoin, which frequently transfer in tandem with macroeconomic sentiment.
- Rare-earth restrictions may disrupt world provide chains if talks fail.
- Agricultural offers might stabilize US-China relations brief time period.
- Investor sentiment stays fragile forward of the APEC summit consequence.
Bitcoin Technical Analysis: Resistance Ahead
On the technical entrance, the BTC/USD rebound from $108,600 has gained traction, however the value now faces a key hurdle round $117,600. A double-top resistance zone is extending this explicit stage. This stage aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, a traditionally robust reversal level.
Recent candlestick patterns present small our bodies with higher wicks, reflecting short-term hesitation. Meanwhile, the 20-day and 50-day EMAs round $112,400 have crossed bullishly, confirming underlying power. The RSI at 55 exhibits room for additional upside earlier than coming into overbought situations.

A sustained breakout above $117,600 may propel BTC towards $120,500 and doubtlessly $124,100, whereas a failure to clear the resistance may set off a pullback to $112,200 or $108,600.
Trade Setup:
- Bullish: Enter on breakout above $117,600, concentrating on $120,500–$124,100 with stops close to $112,200.
- Bearish: Short beneath $117,600, concentrating on $112,200 with stops above $118,000.
Bitcoin’s construction stays cautiously bullish, supported by greater lows and powerful quantity. However, merchants ought to watch carefully as market momentum begins to gradual close to this important resistance space.
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