Bitcoin Price Prediction: Can Treasury Inflows Drive BTC Toward $125K?
Bitcoin (BTC) traded close to $110,855 on Thursday, holding a market cap above $2.2 trillion. The transfer comes because the U.S. greenback softened following weaker-than-expected jobs information. According to the Labor Department, job openings in July fell to 7.18 million, properly under forecasts of seven.38 million, pointing to a cooling labor market.
The dollar dropped in opposition to the euro, pound, yen, and Swiss franc. Sterling superior 0.38% to $1.3442, whereas the euro gained 0.34% to $1.1672. Treasury yields slipped as properly, with the U.S. 10-year falling to 4.22%. Analysts stated this mixture reinforces expectations for Federal Reserve charge cuts later this yr.
Lower yields are inclined to favor Bitcoin, which advantages from a weaker greenback atmosphere as traders hedge in opposition to foreign money depreciation.
Institutional Support Expands
Institutional adoption is constructing the long run case for Bitcoin. Treasury, a brand new Euro denominated Bitcoin firm, raised €126 million ($147 million) in a non-public deal led by Winklevoss Capital and Nakamoto Holdings. They launched with 1,000 BTC in reserves and can record on Euronext Amsterdam through a reverse merger.
JUST IN: Winklevoss brothers backed the brand new #Bitcoin treasury firm Treasury B.V., which purchased 1,000 BTC.
Nothing stops this prepare
pic.twitter.com/7AVPsPIMuI
— Bitcoin Magazine (@BitcoinMagazine) September 3, 2025
Founder Khing Oei stated they may add to reserves via convertible debt and fairness, making BTC a treasury grade asset in Europe. Treasury joins Sequans Communications in France and Germany’s Bitcoin Group, extra corporations are accumulating.
Meanwhile, U.S. Bancorp—the fifth-largest industrial financial institution within the U.S.—relaunched Bitcoin custody companies for institutional traders after a regulatory reversal. President Stephen Philipson stated the financial institution will broaden its choices as demand grows, doubtlessly shifting into funds, wealth administration, and extra crypto companies.
The transfer mirrors steps by Deutsche Bank and BNY Mellon, signaling that main finance is warming again as much as Bitcoin.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Short-Term Analysis
On the charts, Bitcoin has damaged out of the downward channel, reclaimed the 50-EMA at $110,263. RSI is above 50 and a bullish engulfing candle at late August lows is an indication of bettering momentum.
If BTC maintains energy above $110,500, resistance ranges at $113,576 and $116,000 come into play, with $118,600 marking the subsequent goal.
Traders are eyeing entries close to $110,200–$110,500, with stops under $107,400 help. A profitable push above the 200-EMA at $112,703 would validate the breakout, paving the best way towards $125,000 within the coming weeks.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Long-Term Analysis
The total construction is bullish. Price is respecting the rising channel and the 50-week SMA at $95,926 is a serious help zone. The 200-week SMA at $42,869 is deeper structural help. RSI is at 62, not overheated.
If BTC clears $134,487, Fibonacci extensions level towards $171,055, $231,241, and doubtlessly $290,000 on this cycle. On the draw back, $104,379 stays key help, with $89,096 and $74,732 as long-term flooring that should maintain to protect the bullish setup.
As lengthy as Bitcoin holds above $95,000, analysts consider the trajectory towards six-figure milestones stays intact. With banks re-entering custody and European corporations including BTC to stability sheets, the long-term image helps a renewed march towards report highs.
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