Bitcoin Price Prediction: Same Signal That Preceded Big Crash Just Flashed Again – Should You Panic?
Bitcoin is buying and selling with a bearish bias, falling round 1.6% over the previous 24 hours. At the second, it’s round $121,639 as merchants grew cautious following a key promote sign flashing on the every day chart. Overall, the buying and selling sentiment seems to have turned bearish, because the TD Sequential indicator, traditionally dependable for timing corrections, has reappeared, elevating fears of a possible short-term pullback.
Market analyst Ali (@ali_charts) noted that related indicators earlier this 12 months led to notable declines:
- A 7% dip in mid-July following the primary alert.
- A 13% drop in mid-August after the subsequent set off.
This sample suggests a attainable cooling part forward, although many merchants see it as half of a bigger, still-intact uptrend. Bitcoin’s general construction stays supported by institutional inflows and powerful technical foundations, with important assist zones close to $122,000 and $116,700 holding agency thus far.
Market Psychology Mirrors Past Cycles
According to dealer @KillaXBT, the emotional setup in immediately’s market is sort of an identical to the 2022–2023 bear market backside — solely reversed. Back then, buyers had been afraid to purchase close to $16,000–$20,000. Now, that very same collective psychology has flipped, as merchants hesitate to promote throughout what could possibly be the cycle’s euphoric peak.
“The market’s solely actual edge is human emotion,” Killa wrote. “It doesn’t have to outsmart anybody — it simply waits so that you can outsmart your self.”
That sentiment captures the paradox many buyers face: worry of lacking out on additional positive factors versus worry of holding by way of one other correction. Yet traditionally, such hesitation typically precedes durations of volatility somewhat than extended collapse.
Bitcoin Technical Setup: Triangle Nearing Resolution
Bitcoin’s value motion stays inside a slim band between $119,500 and $122,500, forming a short-term symmetrical triangle. The 4-hour chart highlights the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement stage close to $119,520 as a important assist zone, with the 50-period SMA at $122,365 offering overhead resistance.
Momentum indicators counsel indecision. The RSI sits close to 47, reflecting impartial sentiment, whereas the MACD histogram exhibits contracting bearish stress.
If Bitcoin rebounds from $119,500, it may reclaim $124,000 and retest $126,200, a breakout that may probably full the Bearish Butterfly sample highlighted in previous forecasts.
However, if the $119,500–$117,400 vary fails to carry, the next key ranges lie at $115,400 and $112,000. The broader uptrend stays intact so long as Bitcoin trades above $115,000, supported by the rising trendline from September’s lows.
For now, Bitcoin’s consolidation seems to be extra like preparation than exhaustion. A decisive transfer above $126,200 may ignite one other rally towards $130,000, whereas institutional liquidity and ETF inflows proceed to assist long-term optimism heading into This fall 2025.
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