Bitcoin Price Wave Down To $40,000 Shows When The Bottom Will Begin

According to a crypto analyst, the Bitcoin worth remains firmly in a bear trend and could possibly be getting ready for an additional main crash to new lows. Using a wave construction, the skilled mapped out BTC’s worth motion throughout this bearish section, outlining how he sees the present market creating and the place he believes the following draw back transfer could lead on. Contrary to other analysts’ predictions, the analyst believes that BTC has not but reached its cycle backside and should first see a remaining surge earlier than plunging under $40,000.  

Bitcoin Price Could Rebound To $80,000 Before A Final Crash

Market analyst Crypto Bullet has presented a bearish BTC forecast on X, suggesting that the flagship cryptocurrency should still have extra declines forward earlier than the current bear market ends. In his evaluation, he described BTC’s market construction as a “Double ZigZag (WXY)” formation, utilizing it to trace the cryptocurrency’s worth motion from its October 2025 peak and challenge the place the following main decline might unfold.

One motive Crypto Bullet views BTC’s bear market by means of this WXY construction is due to how the cryptocurrency has traded in latest months. He famous that Bitcoin has spent way more time consolidating between $62,000 and $78,000 than it did within the $84,000 to $97,000 vary, the place it traded from November 2025 to January 2026. To him, that extended sideways motion displays a broader bearish construction nonetheless enjoying out. 

Based on that setup, Crypto Bullet believes that BTC’s recent rebound above $78,000 doesn’t imply its bear market has ended however might as a substitute be half of a bigger corrective transfer. He expects the cryptocurrency to make one remaining push increased towards $85,000, with this stage as the following main resistance above his ABC goal of $82,500, as highlighted on his chart. 

Crypto Bullet has tied this outlook to his WXY wave construction. According to him, Bitcoin accomplished wave W after peaking above $126,000 in October 2025 and plunging to $60,000 in February 2026. He famous that wave X additionally started after BTC reached $60,000 and projected it might finish as soon as the cryptocurrency rallies above $80,000. 

If that state of affairs performs out, Crypto Bullet expects wave Y as the ultimate leg low, which is the place he believes BTC could eventually find a bottom. In phrases of timing, the analyst believes that BTC nonetheless has 5 months left earlier than its bear market ends, which intently aligns with timelines from previous bear cycles.

Analyst Marks BTC Bottom Target At $40,000

Crypto Bullet’s bearish outlook for Bitcoin facilities on wave Y, which he believes might carry essentially the most extreme downturn of this cycle. According to him, as soon as Bitcoin completes its rebound above $80,000 in wave X, the market might reverse sharply, triggering a rapid price crash towards a remaining backside. 

He marked BTC’s potential bottom target at $40,000, anticipating the transfer to play out between September and October 2026. From the $80,000 stage, this could characterize a whopping 50% decline, probably wiping out bullish merchants who had interpreted the surge to $80,000 as the beginning of a brand new bullish pattern. Supporting this outlook, crypto analyst Tony Severino said he believes this could possibly be the probably state of affairs for BTC. 

Featured picture from Unsplash, chart from TradingView