Bitcoin S2F Model Says BTC Price Is Headed To $500,000, Here’s When
Bitcoin might be on observe for a large long-term rally if one of the crucial attention-grabbing valuation fashions within the crypto trade continues to be legitimate. According to pseudonymous analyst PlanB, the Stock-to-Flow (S2F) mannequin means that Bitcoin may common round $500,000 through the present halving cycle between 2024 and 2028.
The daring projection comes whilst Bitcoin is showing no signs of trading at that degree in latest days, however latest worth motion previously 24 hours has seen it reclaiming the $70,000 worth degree.
Here’s When Bitcoin Will Reach $500,000
PlanB’s projection for Bitcoin isn’t that the cryptocurrency’s worth motion immediately jumps to $50,000, however that your complete post-halving cycle from 2024 by means of 2028 may common round that degree if the Stock-to-Flow framework continues to play out as predicted. That is a way more aggressive name than merely predicting a cycle high, as a result of a mean of $500,000 would indicate that Bitcoin would finally spend significant time properly above that worth degree at some stage of the cycle.
The present Bitcoin worth setup is a check of whether or not the main cryptocurrency is deeply undervalued at right now’s ranges or whether or not the S2F mannequin has lastly damaged down for good.
The chart connected to PlanB’s technical evaluation helps clarify this prediction of a $500,000 price ticket for Bitcoin. It overlays Bitcoin’s worth historical past with the 200-week shifting common, realized value worth, RSI coloring, and a staircase-like Stock-to-Flow path. The dotted S2F path for the 2024-2028 halving window rises to round $500,000 in 2027.
Bitcoin S2F Model. Source: Plan B On X
What’s Going On With Bitcoin?
Bitcoin has spent the previous week swinging between recovery and pressure, a stretch that noticed the asset commerce above $73,000 on March 5 earlier than falling again towards the mid-$60,000s after which rebounding once more above $70,000 on the time of writing. That unsure context of worth motion is what makes PlanB’s newest Stock-to-Flow worth prediction stand out, as a result of it takes sturdy conviction to foretell a mean worth of $500,000 for Bitcoin.
The latest worth motion locations Bitcoin simply above two long-watched structural helps: the realized value worth and the 200-week moving average. Both of those helps are additionally seen in PlanB’s Stock-to-Flow mannequin chart shared above. That doesn’t routinely show a six-figure or seven-figure breakout is subsequent, however it does help the view that your complete cycle construction has not totally collapsed.
As it stands, about 43% of Bitcoin addresses are holding at a loss, with the bulk being short-term holders and Bitcoin treasury firms. However, many analysts have proposed that Bitcoin’s correction is yet to find a bottom, regardless of it being down by over 45% from its October 2025 peak.
