Bitcoin’s Performance Up To September 2025 Compared To Past Cycles – Here’s What Changed

As Tuesday drew to a detailed, Bitcoin’s efficiency turned barely bearish once more after the crypto king reclaimed above the $113,000 mark in a brief rebound. Bitcoin’s value motion this 12 months has seen a wild trip when in comparison with some previous cycles. However, it’s nonetheless much less vital than a lot of the earlier cycles.

How Bitcoin’s Current Rally Stacks Against Previous Bull Cycle

After hitting a number of all-time highs this 12 months, Bitcoin appears to have stalled because the flagship asset retests key help ranges. In the meantime, Joao Wedson, a number one market skilled, has shed light on how Bitcoin’s efficiency as much as September 2025 stacks up towards its historic cycles. 

While outlining BTC’s efficiency this 12 months to previous cycles, the skilled is offering a precious perspective to assist buyers navigate the market at present. Following his evaluation of the Bitcoin Yearly Seasonality metric, Wedson highlighted that BTC’s motion this 12 months as much as September has been higher than in 2014, 2018, and 2022. 

The development displays key variations between these years and the current cycle, notably a extra developed market construction, elevated institutional engagement, and altering world liquidity dynamics. Bitcoin’s value rally this 12 months might have outperformed the aforementioned years, however current knowledge on the chart reveals it’s nonetheless worse than in all the opposite 12 years of its existence. 

The skilled additionally outlined how BTC’s ongoing value motion in September compares to earlier Septembers up to now cycles. BTC’s Monthly Seasonality for September reveals that the flagship asset is performing higher this month than the historic common. 

Presently, Bitcoin’s value motion this month is just lagging behind that of 2012, 2015, 2016, and 2022. As a outcome, Wedson is pointing to the potential that BTC may not carry out as poorly this September as many anticipate.

Support Zones Aligning With On-Chain Metrics

While Bitcoin is holding above the $111,000 value degree, CryptoOnchain, a market skilled, revealed that the crypto king is presently positioned at one in every of its most crucial help zones lately. According to the skilled, this degree, which is proven on the weekly interval as a long-term ascending trendline, represents greater than only a simple technical help. 

It additional matches completely with the New Whales Realized Price, one of the necessary on-chain metrics. As a results of this highly effective confluence, an especially strong defensive zone is created for the market.

Technical evaluation means that the bullish construction could be rendered invalid if it breaks beneath this trendline. However, on-chain data signifies that new, giant buyers have a powerful motivation to defend their positions right here as a result of this space displays the common buy value.

Amid the development, CryptoOnchain famous that the bearish divergence on the RSI and MACD indicators is casting a shadow for BTC. These divergences trace at a decline in bullish momentum and lift the chance of this help failing.

In the meantime, Bitcoin’s mid-term prospects depend on sustaining or dropping this degree. A decisive lack of this on-chain and technical help would function a strong promote sign and would trigger the market to enter a steep and protracted decline.