Can RAIN Token Hit Another All-Time High This Week?
RAIN worth has rallied almost 40% over the previous 30 days, preserving its breakout construction intact. The worth is now buying and selling slightly below $0.0104, however that degree is not the true focus.
The lively breakout construction factors to a brand new projected all-time high above $0.0110, greater than 10% larger from present ranges. While upside stays open, fading momentum suggests sellers might return proper the place optimism peaks.
New All-Time High Is the Real Target, and Sellers Are Still Waiting
The lively breakout inverse head-and-shoulders construction tasks a brand new all-time high greater than 10% above present costs, close to the $0.0110 zone. That projected degree, not the prior peak, is the place merchants are positioning. The present consolidation will not be about profit-taking at previous highs. It is about whether or not RAIN can expand into its subsequent leg.
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On-chain conduct helps this view. Spent cash age band exercise, which tracks what number of tokens of all holding ages are being moved on-chain and infrequently displays promoting or profit-taking, has collapsed over the previous few days. Since January 22, spent cash exercise has fallen from roughly 104.8 million to 25.4 million, a decline of almost 76% in simply three days.
That sharp drop means holders usually are not shifting tokens regardless of rising costs, exhibiting constructive short-term conduct. This indicators restraint, not distribution. Participants seem like ready for the projected all-time high try earlier than appearing. In easy phrases, sellers have stepped apart for now, permitting the breakout path towards $0.0110 to stay intact. But this quiet section is precisely the place dangers begin to construct.
Why Sellers Could Return Near the Projected ATH
The first warning comes from the construction forming beneath the unique breakout.
As RAIN has continued larger since early January, a secondary inverse head-and-shoulders sample has began to kind. Unlike the sooner breakout construction, this one has a steeply up-sloping neckline and a proper shoulder that’s bigger than the top. That form makes follow-through more durable. The projected upside from this construction is modest, roughly 13–14%, and it requires sturdy momentum to succeed.
Long-term momentum will not be confirming that energy.
Between January 6 and January 22, RAIN’s worth printed the next high, whereas the Relative Strength Index (RSI) shaped a decrease high. RSI measures worth momentum by evaluating latest positive aspects to losses. When worth rises, however RSI weakens, it indicators fading shopping for strain, not energy. This bearish RSI divergence is showing earlier than the projected ATH is reached, which is a key warning.
The Money Flow Index (MFI) reinforces this concern. MFI tracks shopping for and promoting strain utilizing each worth and quantity. Between January 6 and January 24, RAIN’s worth moved sideways to barely larger, however MFI trended decrease. That exhibits dip shopping for is weakening, despite the fact that sellers are nonetheless inactive.
This explains the contradiction on the floor. Spent cash are falling as a result of sellers are ready. RSI and MFI are weakening as a result of consumers usually are not stepping in aggressively.
Rallies supported by vendor restraint slightly than purchaser enlargement are fragile. If and when the RAIN worth lastly reaches the projected ATH zone, even reasonable profit-taking (sellers returning) can tip the stability.
RAIN Price Levels That Matter Next
RAIN can still reach a new all-time high. Nothing within the information blocks that path outright.
A each day shut above $0.0110 would verify enlargement past the breakout projection and open room towards $0.0128, pushed largely by sentiment and momentum continuation.
However, danger builds shortly if the market hesitates close to that zone.
If sellers return and spent cash exercise spikes close to the projected ATH, the primary degree to observe is $0.0099, the place the latest construction begins to weaken. Below that, confidence within the setup fades.
A breakdown beneath $0.0082–$0.0081 would invalidate the newer right-shoulder and head construction and open the door towards $0.0068, marking a deeper corrective section.
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